Sports Betting

Saturday, September 17, 2005

Sports Betting

PreviewThree match-ups between ranked schools highlight a great weekend in college football. Twenty-three of the Top 25 schools will see action this week so expect a lot of movement in the rankings on Monday. Here's a look at four of the better contests this weekend has to offer: Miami (13) at Clemson (20) - Saturday 3:30 pm EDTThe Hurricanes had a week to prepare for the Tigers and we'll see if that extra prep time paid off on Saturday. Miami needs a win to avoid opening the season 0-2, but will have to do it in the very unfriendly confines of Death Valley. Larry Coker's crew will also be out to avenge a 24-17 overtime loss they suffered at the hands of the Tigers last season that ended up costing them a shot at the ACC title. The Hurricanes' defense continues to be their strength, which was evident in their close 10-7 loss to Florida State in Week 1. To avoid another loss Miami will need quarterback Kyle Wright to step up and lead the offense. Wright put up 232 passing yards on 16-of-28 with a touchdown and two interceptions in the first start of his college career in Week 1. Things are looking up for Clemson so far this season. The Tigers have pulled off two close comeback wins (25-24 over Texas A&M and 28-24 over Maryland) to climb into the rankings. If the Tigers want to keep their winning streak alive this week the best thing they can do is to keep the score close. Eight of the Tigers' last 13 games have been decided by seven points or less, and they have won six of those contests. To keep it close against a more talented Miami squad, Tigers' quarterback Charlie Whitehurst will have to continue to put up impressive numbers. Whitehurst has completed 78 percent of his passes so far this season, going 32-for-41 for 363 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions. If Whitehurst can maintain his 168.5 quarterback rating against the Hurricanes' smothering defense the Tigers will have a shot at another W. The Hurricanes are favored in this contest opening as a 6-point favorite, while the total was set at 43.5. Tennessee (5) at Florida (6) - Saturday 8:00 pm EDTThe Volunteers had last week off and they're going to need the rest as they enter their toughest two-game stretch of the season. Tennessee gets the No. 6 Gators on the road this week and current No. 3 LSU next week. It doesn't help that the Vols looked shaky in their 17-10 Week 1 win over UAB. The lackluster performance against the Blazers has opened a potential revolving door at quarterback for Tennessee for the rest of the season. Erik Ainge was ineffective as the starter in Week 1, completing only 5-of-14 passes for 57 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Ainge will find himself on the bench this week, while his Week 1 replacement Rick Clausen will get the start. Vols' coach Phillip Fulmer said Clausen will get the start, but he will rotate both QBs in and out of the game. The Urban Meyer era in Florida has gone as planned so far. The Gators are 2-0 after routing Louisiana Tech 41-3 last week. The win extended Meyer's winning streak to 18 games, trailing only Pete Carroll and his 23-game streak at USC. To keep Meyer's streak alive all the Gators will have to do is keep playing as well as they have been so far this season. Chris Leak is coming off a four- touchdown performance (two passing and two rushing) last week, while running back DeShawn Wynn didn't show any rust in his first game after returning from a one-game suspension, rushing for 101 yards and two touchdowns on 16 carries in his season debut. Throw in a Gators' defense that has allowed only 17 points all season and the Gators could be returning to their glory days harking back to the Steve Spurrier era. The oddsmakers expect the Gators to keep Meyer's winning streak alive, opening Florida as a 6-point favorite with the total being set at 49. Michigan State at Notre Dame (10) - Saturday 2:30 pm EDTIt's pretty safe to say that Charlie Weis is fitting in well at Notre Dame. Weis led the Fighting Irish to two road wins to start the season, a feat that hasn't been accomplished since Knute Rockne did it back in 1918. Last week's upset victory over former No. 3 Michigan vaulted Notre Dame into the Top 10 for the first time since 2002 and showed that their opening win over Pittsburgh wasn't a fluke. Weis traded in one Brady for another, leaving Tom Brady in New England and working his magic on Irish QB Brady Quinn. Quinn impressed in the Michigan upset by completing 19-of-30 passes for 140 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions. Throw in the strong running game of Darius Walker (204 yards on 46 carries on the season) and Notre Dame's offense is clicking on all fronts. If any team can knock the Irish off their pedestal it's the Michigan State Spartans. The Spartans have won 11 games at Notre Dame, more than any other school. Michigan State's offense has been rolling so far this season scoring a combined 91 points in their first two games. Quarterback Drew Stanton has thrown for 598 yards and five touchdowns with only one interception, while the rushing tandem of Jehuu Caulcrick and Javon Ringer have combined for 378 yards and seven touchdowns on the ground. These two teams also faced off early last season when the Irish, then led by Ty Willingham, dropped the Spartans 31-24 as a 3-point road favorite. The Irish have garnered the oddsmakers' favor again in this contest as they opened as a 6.5-point favorite, with the total being set at 55. Florida State (8) at Boston College (17) - Saturday 7:45 pm EDT Boston College gets their first ACC matchup this week after they moved into the ACC from the Big East in the offseason. The Eagles are 2-0 after two easy victories over BYU and Army, so they will get their first real test of the season. It's been a long time since these two teams have clashed with their last meeting taking place way back in 1980. If the Eagles can't pull off a win at home versus the Seminoles they could be in trouble because they're headed to Death Valley to battle Clemson next week. Eagles' quarterback Quinton Porter has looked great so far this season completing 42 of his 55 passes for 438 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions. Despite Porters' performance the Eagles' defense has played a starring role, allowing only 10 points so far this season. Defense is also the strength of Florida State. The Seminoles have only allowed 17 points in their two wins this season and haven't allowed a single point yet in the second half. They also got some good news in their 62-10 drubbing of The Citadel last week as both of their freshmen quarterbacks showed a lot of improvement from their Week 1 performance. Drew Weatherford stepped up to throw a pair of touchdowns passes while going 26-for-37 for 342 yards. Compare that to his performance against Miami - 7-of-24 for 67 yards with an interception - and you've got an illustration of vast improvement. If Weatherford can continue to improve and the Seminoles' defense remains solid they should improve to 3-0 Saturday. The oddsmakers are expecting a close contest as they opened the Seminoles as a slim 1-point favorite. They also expect a low-scoring defensive battle with the total being set at 38.
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Friday, September 16, 2005

Sports Betting

San Francisco (+13) at Philadelphia
The 49ers are terrible! Philadelphia was in the Superbowl! Such is the public sentiment, and the spread is as much a measure of that, as a predictor of who will actually win.
San Francisco is coming off an upset win against St. Louis, 28-25. Despite having more turnovers than the Rams, and giving up 451 offensive yards, the 49ers won by forcing St. Louis to settle for field goals on four occasions. After San Fran's 2-win season last year, the sports bettors demand more before respecting this team. Still though, this is the first time I have seen a 1-0 team getting 13 points against an 0-1 team.
This game opened with the Eagles at -12.5 and the Sharps pounded this early, until the number settled at +13/+13.5. At +13.5, many professionals were playing the 49ers, buying 2 half-pts to +14.5. The number has now finally settled at +13.
New England at Carolina O/U 43
This game opened at 45.5, and was quickly bet down by sharps through the key number 44, which hits 3% of the time. The total stabilized at 43 over 43 -108, where we are seeing two-way action.
Last year, New England had the #2 defense in the league, allowing just 16.2 points per game. Despite the off-season losses of Ty Law and other defensive players, New England looked impressive against the Raiders.
The Panther’s defense was slightly above average last year, allowing only 21.2 points per game. Carolina is coming off a 23-20 loss to New Orleans, but the score understates how much offense there was in this game. Between those two teams, there were 646 yards of total offense, which is high relative to 43 total points scored.
The real test on the total might come down to how close the game is in the 4th quarter. If either team is up by exactly two possessions, scoring tends to go up as defenses allow short yardage plays in exchange for time off the clock.
Tennessee (+6) at Florida
Tennessee struggled against UAB two weeks ago, salvaging a 17-10 win but the Vols are coming off a bye week with two weeks to prepare for this match-up. In the UAB game, Tennessee tried two different QBs and will likely play both against Florida.
Although Florida has outscored its opponents 73-17, it has yet to play a team of Tennessee's caliber. Florida coach Urban Meyer, now in his first year at Florida, had a lifetime record of 39-8 as a head coach before his 2-0 start this year.
The Gators opened as a 3.5-pt favorite, but early public money quickly drove this up to 6. The sharps are opposing the public bettors, taking Tennessee and the points. With sharps and public in opposition on the game, this spread will probably close in the +5.5 -to +6.5 range, but we are unlikely to see +7.
Northwestern at Arizona State O/U 65.5
Arizona State's offense had 563 yards on each of the last two outings, most recently against the legitimate defense of LSU. Northwestern has averaged 528 yards of offense in each of its first two games, including a 38-37 victory against Northern Illinois. Two explosive offenses and lackadaisical defenses suggest that this will be a high-scoring contest, but will it be enough to go over 65.5? While any bet could win or lose, college totals above 64 have gone under 56% of the time.
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Thursday, September 15, 2005

Sports Betting

CFL Football Preview Week 13There's still plenty of football to be played north of the border as the CFL enters Week 13. The struggling Ottawa Renegades host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to kick off the week on Friday night. Doubleheader Saturday sees the Calgary Stampeders visit the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and the B.C. Lions host the Montreal Alouettes. The Edmonton Eskimos will try to get back on the winning track Sunday afternoon when they travel to Saskatchewan to battle the Roughriders.Here's a closer look at those match-ups: Friday, September 16Winnipeg at Ottawa - 8:00 pm EDTThe Blue Bombers storm into the nation's capital Friday night looking for a repeat of their Week 9 performance versus the Renegades, when Winnipeg dropped Ottawa 38-17 as a 3-point home underdog. Bombers QB Kevin Glenn had his best game of the season, completing 20-of-27 passes for 357 yards and three touchdowns. The oddsmakers don't expect the Bombers to notch another win against Ottawa as they set the Renegades as a 3.5-point favorite. The Renegades are currently riding a three-game losing streak in which their defense hasn't shown up. Ottawa has allowed 140 points in their last three games while their offence has only been able to muster 62 points. That includes an embarrassing 61-27 loss to B.C. last week. The downturn in Ottawa's defense has been good for any OVER bettors as the Renegades' three losses have all been OVERs after a run of five straight UNDERs. The Bombers have also lost three in a row after a close 19-17 loss to Saskatchewan last week. Win or lose Friday night Winnipeg will still be last in the West and it doesn't look like the Bombers will be playoff bound this season. Saturday, September 17Calgary at Hamilton - 7:00 pm EDTThe Calgary Stampeders got some bad news earlier this week when they learned starting quarterback Henry Burris could be lost for the rest of the season after undergoing surgery to repair torn ligaments in his thumb. Luckily for the Stamps though they get to face the cellar-dwelling Hamilton Tiger-Cats in their first game without Burris at the helm. This is the first time these two teams have clashed this season after Hamilton won both meetings last season. Those two wins last season don't mean much to the oddsmakers who set the Stamps as a 3-point favorite. Without Burris Calgary will turn to backup QB Jason Gesser to lead the offense on Saturday. Gesser looked good in relief of Burris last week, completing 3-of-3 passes for 45 yards and a touchdown in Calgary's 16-11 win over Edmonton. The Tiger-Cats signed former Hec Crighton Trophy winner Jesse Lumsden last week, but don't expect the all-time leader in Canadian university football rushing to make an immediate impact. Lumsden will probably start his CFL career on special teams and gradually work his way into the Ti-Cats' running game. The Hamilton offense needs all the help it can get after they were blown out 48-0 by Toronto last week. Montreal at B.C. - 10:00 pm EDTIn what should be the premier matchup of the week the Montreal Alouettes travel to B.C. to take on the Lions. This is the first game between these two teams this season after B.C. defeated Montreal twice last season. In fact the Lions have won their last five games versus the Als, with their last loss to Montreal coming way back in 2002. The Lions will need to win by at least a touchdown this time if they want to cover the 7-point spread the oddsmakers have given them. Montreal got their offense in gear last week with a 41-18 win over Ottawa and their offense should get another boost this week with the probable return of receiver Ben Cahoon. Montreal needs a win to climb over the .500 mark and inch closer to first place in the East. The Lions are still undefeated at 10-0 and had any questions about the health of quarterback Dave Dickenson answered last week when Dickenson threw for 262 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 17-of-21 passing in B.C.'s 61-27 blowout of Ottawa. The Lions defense and special teams were also strong in that game with the defense picking off four passes and the special teams scoring a pair of touchdowns. Sunday, September 18Edmonton at Saskatchewan - 4:30 pm EDTThe Edmonton Eskimos and Saskatchewan Roughriders meet for the first time this season Sunday afternoon. The Riders dropped the Eskimos twice last season, but have only been able to pull out wins versus the two worst teams in the CFL, Hamilton and Winnipeg, this season. The Eskimos opened as a 2.5-point favorite this time around. Edmonton lost their rematch with Calgary last week and now sits at 7-4, second in the West. Eskimos QB Ricky Ray had a rough game, throwing three interceptions and only one touchdown. In Saskatchewan the Riders have won two in a row since coach Danny Barrett named Marcus Crandell the starting quarterback. The real star in those two wins was running back Kenton Keith who rushed for 269 yards on 30 carries.
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Wednesday, September 14, 2005

Sports Betting

Handicapping
NFL Power Rankings - Week 2
In last week's Power Rankings, we said that the initial rankings order "will likely be obliterated in the coming weeks as teams both surprise and disappoint in the early going." Well, start the obliteration. The Dolphins beat the Broncos, the 49ers beat the Rams, the Bucs beat the Vikings, the Cowboys beat the Chargers, the Saints beat the Panthers, the Falcons beat the Eagles, and the Lions held the Packers to only three points. As well, three games that were expected to be close turned out not to be, as the Colts, Giants, and Chiefs pounded the Ravens, Cards, and Jets. The Patriots, however, rolled to a win over the Raiders, and the Steelers dispatched the Titans as easily as predicted. The Bills, Jaguars, and Bengals also played to form in their victories (over the Texans, Seahawks, and Browns). In fact, in only one game was the straight-up (SU) winner not also the against-the-spread (ATS) winner, as the Redskins defeated the Bears in a defensive (or, if you prefer, offensively-inept) 9-7 contest as 6-point home favorites. For totals fans, only four teams managed to score 30-or-more points in Week 1: The Giants (42 versus Arizona), Steelers (34 versus Tennessee), Dolphins (34 versus Denver), and Patriots (30 versus Oakland). In contrast, seven teams were held to single-digit output: The Redskins (9 versus Chicago), Bears (7 versus Washington), Texans (7 versus Buffalo), Titans (7 versus Pittsburgh), Ravens (7 versus Indianapolis), and Packers (3 versus Detroit). So how does all this affect this week's rankings? Well, we had two choices - write off Week 1 as an anomaly and just make minor tweaks, or turn the rankings upside down and move the Dolphins and 49ers into the top half of the list. Obviously we've chosen the first option, but if Week 2 is just as crazy, watch for the next edition of the rankings to show some serious movement. Here is the Week 2 edition of the NFL Power Rankings. 01 - New England Patriots 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS (Last Week 01)Another week, another win as Tom Brady went 24-for-38 for 306 yards passing to top the Raiders. 02 - Indianapolis Colts 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS (Last Week 03)Don't get too excited about the Colts' defense just yet - they were facing Kyle Boller after all. 03 - Atlanta Falcons 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS (Last Week 04)Got some revenge for last year's NFC Championship Game on Monday night when they topped the Eagles 14-10. 04 - Pittsburgh Steelers 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS (Last Week 05)When Willie Parker is running for 161 yards, your quarterback can get away with only throwing 11 passes. 05 - Philadelphia Eagles 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS (Last Week 02)No TDs for T.O. in Week 1, but he did pick up 112 receiving yards on seven catches in Philadelphia's loss. 06 - Jacksonville Jaguars 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS (Last Week 11)Shut out the Seahawks in the second half last week, putting up 13 points of their own in that time to win at home. 07 - Kansas City Chiefs 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS (Last Week 12)Went up early versus the Jets and never looked back; allowing only seven points in their opener is a good sign. 08 - Baltimore Ravens 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS (Last Week 06)Needed a late touchdown to avoid an embarrassing shutout in their home opener versus the Colts. 09 - San Diego Chargers 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS (Last Week 07)Have to follow up a loss in their opener with a game versus the division-rival Broncos in Denver this week. 10 - Minnesota Vikings 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS (Last Week 08)Only managed 13 points in their loss to the Bucs; has the loss of Randy Moss already shown some effects? 11 - Denver Broncos 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS (Last Week 09)Gave up 21 points to the Dolphins in the fourth quarter in their Week 1 loss, and got nothing going on offense. 12 - Carolina Panthers 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS (Last Week 10)After losing their opener, will have to beat the Patriots in Week 2 to avoid an 0-2 start to the season. 13 - Cincinnati Bengals 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS (Last Week 15)The Bengals' offense looked good versus the Browns, but how could it not? 14 - New Orleans Saints 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS (Last Week 18)Will be playing their home opener this week - but unfortunately 'home' will be unfriendly Giants Stadium. 15 - Buffalo Bills 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS (Last Week 19)J.P. Losman and Willis McGahee were both up to the task in their Week 1 win over the Texans. 16 - Dallas Cowboys 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS (Last Week 20)Drew Bledsoe in his debut for the Cowboys: 18-of-24 for 226 yards passing, three touchdowns, zero interceptions. 17 - Detroit Lions 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS (Last Week 22)Hold back the boos for another week - Joey Harrington led the Lions to a win over Green Bay in Week 1. 18 - New York Jets 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS (Last Week 13)Chad Pennington went 21-of-34 for 264 yards versus the Chiefs, but the team didn't score until the fourth quarter. 19 - Green Bay Packers 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS (Last Week 14)Managed only three points in their loss last week, and now likely won't have Javon Walker for the rest of the season. 20 - St. Louis Rams 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS (Last Week 16)Almost came back in the final quarter, but couldn't overcome the 21 points San Francisco scored in the second. 21 - Seattle Seahawks 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS (Last Week 17)At least they're not chasing the Rams for the division lead after a Week 1 loss - it's only the 49ers ahead of them. 22 - New York Giants 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS (Last Week 25)Offensive explosion in the second half in their opener gave them a win over the Cards and ex-Giant Kurt Warner. 23 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS (Last Week 26)The Vikings didn't have an answer for Carnell Williams, who ran for 148 yards and a touchdown in the win. 24 - Washington Redskins 1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS (Last Week 27)Scoring nine points and winning isn't going to happen very many times for a team in a season. 25 - Miami Dolphins 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS (Last Week 29)One week could've been a fluke, so don't jump on the Dolphins bandwagon until we see what they do in Week 2. 26 - Houston Texans 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS (Last Week 21)David Carr was brutal in the team's opener, completing only 9-of-21 pass attempts for 70 yards. 27 - Oakland Raiders 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS (Last Week 23)Randy Moss had 130 yards receiving in Week 1, but there was no way they were going to beat New England. 28 - Arizona Cardinals 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS (Last Week 24)Wasn't defense this team's strength? Then how'd they give up 42 points (35 in the second half) to the Giants? 29 - San Francisco 49ers 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS (Last Week 32)They might be 1-0 now, but they'll have to win in Philly this week to improve that mark to 2-0. 30 - Tennessee Titans 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS (Last Week 28)The Steelers routed them by a 34-7 score in Week 1, and they get to face the Ravens next. 31 - Chicago Bears 0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS (Last Week 30)Rookie QB Kyle Orton was good on 15-of-28 pass attempts for 141 yards in the team's loss; not bad for a first outing. 32 - Cleveland Browns 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS (Last Week 31)Attentions Browns equipment manager - it's spelled L-E-I-N-A-R-T.
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Tuesday, September 13, 2005

Sports Betting

Broncos look to get on winning track versus Chargers
Coming off a disappointing 34-10 loss last time out, Denver has a chance to get on the winning track Sunday at home.
The Broncos (0-1 ATS) are 3-point favorites and they host a Chargers team that has covered 0 of their 1 games this season. The total opened at 45.
Marty Schottenheimer's team was busy last game losing to Dallas 28-24 as 4.5-point favorites. The 52 points sent that game over the total of 40.
Mike Shanahan's troops were at Miami last game and came away with a 34-10 loss, a game that went over 37. Oddsmakers had them as 5.5-point favorites in that one.
Some trends to consider: San Diego is 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 games against DenverSan Diego is 1-4-0 SU in their last 5 games after scoring 21 to 30 pointsSan Diego is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 away games against DenverSan Diego is 2-6-0 OU in their last 8 games away against DenverDenver is 5-0-0 OU in their last 5 gamesDenver is 5-2-0 SU in their last 7 games after scoring 10 to 20 pointsDenver is 17-6-2 ATS in their last 25 home games against San DiegoDenver is 4-2-0 SU in their last 6 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favorites
Next up: San Diego home to NY Giants, Sunday, September 25Denver home to Kansas City, Monday, September 26


Vikings look to rebound in Cincinnati
Fresh off a victory last game over Cleveland, Cincinnati can stay on a roll Sunday by handling the Minnesota Vikings.
Minnesota brings a 0-1 overall mark (0-0 in the division) into this game vs. a Cincinnati team carrying a 1-0 record.
The Bengals are favored slightly by the bookmakers, who opened the game at -3. They are 1-0 ATS on the season, while the Vikings bring a 0-1 ATS mark to the table. The total has been set at 46.
Mike Tice's team hopes to rebound from a 24-13 loss at the hands of Tampa Bay. They were 5.5-point favorites and failed to cover the spread. The game went under the total.
The Bengals defeated Cleveland 27-13 as 3.5-point favorites. That contest went under the closing total.
Minnesota's ground game hasn't been much to write home about, averaging just 26.0 yards per game on the season, 32nd place in the league. They need a better effort from their running backs to be effective in moving the ball and keeping the Bengals offence off the field.
Some trends to consider: Minnesota is 1-7-0 ATS in their last 8 gamesMinnesota is 1-6-0 SU in their last 7 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favoritesMinnesota is 1-4-0 OU in their last 5 awayMinnesota is 1-4-0 OU in their last 5 gamesCincinnati is 4-1-0 SU in their last 5 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favoritesCincinnati is 4-1-0 ATS in their last 5 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favoritesCincinnati is 5-2-0 OU in their last 7 gamesCincinnati is 5-2-0 ATS in their last 7 games
Next up: Minnesota home to New Orleans, Sunday, September 25Cincinnati at Chicago, Sunday, September 25


San Francisco battles Philadelphia in an NFC Matchup
San Francisco looks to follow up last game's big win at home with another Sunday when they visit the Eagles.
The Eagles are listed as big favorites in this contest, as oddsmakers have opened the spread at 13.5 points. The total opened at 43.
San Francisco won at home against St. Louis last game as 6.5-point underdogs, tallying a score of 28-25. The total sailed over.
Meanwhile, Philadelphia comes off a 14-10 loss against Atlanta, a game where they were a 2-point favorite. The game went under the closing total of 42.
San Francisco's ground game hasn't been much to write home about, averaging just 34.0 yards per game on the season, 30th place in the league. They need a better effort from their running backs to be effective in moving the ball and keeping the Eagles offence off the field.
Some trends to consider: San Francisco is 1-7-0 SU in their last 8 games after scoring 21 to 30 pointsSan Francisco is 1-6-0 SU in their last 7 games after being 3.5 to 7 point underdogsSan Francisco is 1-6-0 ATS in their last 7 games after being 3.5 to 7 point underdogsSan Francisco is 1-5-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring 21 to 30 pointsPhiladelphia is 7-1-0 SU in their last 8 games after being .5 to 3 point favoritesPhiladelphia is 7-1-0 ATS in their last 8 games after being .5 to 3 point favoritesPhiladelphia is 8-3-0 ATS in their last 11 home gamesPhiladelphia is 7-3-0 SU in their last 10 games after scoring 10 to 20 points
Next up: San Francisco home to Dallas, Sunday, September 25Philadelphia home to Oakland, Sunday, September 25

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Monday, September 12, 2005

Sports Betting

Falcons seek revenge on Monday nightTaking advantage of an opponent's trials and tribulations might not seem very sporting, but the Atlanta Falcons will likely have no qualms with using everything they can on Monday night when they face the Philadelphia Eagles in their season opener. The Eagles bounced the Falcons from the NFL playoffs last season, beating them 27-10 in the NFC Championship Game en route to an appearance in the Super Bowl. Philadelphia covered the 4.5-point spread in that game, while the combined score fell UNDER the contest's posted total (41). In fact, Philadelphia is 4-0 (including two playoff wins) versus Atlanta since Andy Reid became the Eagles' head coach back in 1999. The Eagles also managed to cover the posted spread in all four of those contests (which included three UNDER plays and a single OVER result). So Atlanta will be looking for some revenge Monday night, and they'll have three things working in their favor: 1) This time, they're playing at home. 2) Philadelphia's depth has taken a hit with the losses of Todd Pinkston, Freddie Mitchell, Chad Lewis, Correll Buckhalter, and Corey Simon. 3) Terrell Owens has been his usual, disruptive self. Add it all up, and how much is Atlanta favored by in this game? Uh, actually they're still the underdogs, as the oddsmakers have pegged the Eagles as 1-point (or at some books 1.5-point) road favorites. The total for the night has been set at 41.5. Obviously, then, Philadelphia still has their backers. And one key game note could explain why: The Eagles defeated the Falcons without T.O. in the lineup last January, and the star receiver may be trouble off the field but he looked great in the preseason. And Owens may need to be great all year for Philadelphia to make it back to the Super Bowl, as their receiving corps took a hit with the season-ending injury to Pinkston and the departure of Mitchell. That leaves Owens, second-year player Greg Lewis, and rookie Reggie Brown as Donovan McNabb's top targets. McNabb got the job done in the NFC Championship game versus the Falcons last season, but wasn't spectacular in the win. The quarterback went 17-for-26 for 180 yards passing, and threw two touchdown strikes. Falcons QB Michael Vick, on the other hand, wasn't good at all in that game. Vick (who was sacked four times) completed only 11-of-24 pass attempts for 136 yards, with no touchdown passes and one interception. Atlanta's only major score in the loss came off a Warrick Dunn 10-yard run. That means Vick will be looking for some redemption Monday night. Although it is only Week 1 of the season, a win over the Eagles would not only be a psychological boost for Atlanta, but it would give them a leg up in the quest for home-field advantage throughout the conference playoffs. With most teams in the NFC expected to (how do we put this gently) stink, matchups between actual contenders in the conference take on that much more meaning. Atlanta will have one more factor on their side Monday night: Health. The Falcons didn't list anyone on their Week 1 injury report. The Eagles, meanwhile, have CB Dexter Wynn listed as questionable, while S Sean Considine, P Dirk Johnson, RB Josh Parry, and DT Sam Rayburn all made the list as probable. The Falcons went 4-1 in the preseason, scoring 107 points and allowing 72. The Eagles, meanwhile, finished with a 2-2 mark, scoring 92 points and allowing 106. In Week 2, the Eagles will play host to the San Francisco 49ers. The Falcons will travel to Seattle in Week 2 to take on the Seattle Seahawks.
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Sunday, September 11, 2005

Sports Betting

Heavyweight Title Elimination Fight: Samuel Peter vs. Wladimir Klitschko
Samuel Peter comes in ranked 8th in the world with a record of 24-0 with 21 of those wins coming by way of knock out. The 25 year old was born in Nigeria and now calls Nevada Las Vegas his home. He stands 6’1/2’’ with a reach of 77" and is a knock out artist who believes that he has what it takes to take out the younger of the two Klitschko brothers. He also holds the NABF, USBA and the NABA Heavyweight Titles. He last defended on 7/2/05.
In the other corner we have Wladimir Klitschko who is ranked 6th in the world with a record of 44-3 with 40 of those wins coming by way of the knock out. He is 29 years of age and stands 6’6’’ with a 81’ reach. He was born in Kazakhstan and he now calls Germany his home. In this fight for the IBF/WBO title most sportsbooks have Klitschko as the underdog because he has been susceptible to being KO’ed.
This may not be the case as Samuel Peter has never really been tested and he is in for more than he can handle here.
Current fight betting odds list Samuel Peter as the favorite with a price tag of -167. This of course makes Wladimir the underdog at +157 odds. Not a bad grab for a much more established fighter.
For those of you wonder what the over/under is on rounds, the current odds are over 6 rounds +118 and under 6 rounds -128.
Our pick to win the fight: Wladimir Klitschko at +157!


Indianapolis @ BaltimoreSunday Sep 11 - 8:30 PM EDT - (ESPN)
Colts (-3)Baltimore has won 5 of past 6 week 1 games and is a favorite by a hair in this matchup.
Ravens (+3)RB JAMAL LEWIS had 20 carries for 130 yds (6.5 avg.). Posted NFL’s longest run from scrim. in ’04 (75 yds vs. Cin., 9/26/04). Since ’02, Lewis has posted 186 rush yds or more in at least 1 Sept. game.


Philadelphia @ AtlantaMonday Sep 12 - 9:00 PM EDT - (ABC)
Eagles (PK)Philly can join (1973-77) Oakland Raiders as 2nd team ever to appear in 5 consecutive Championship Games. Head coach Andy Reid owns 32-16 road record (.667), tops among active coaches.
Falcons (PK)The Falcons seeks consecutive division titles for 1st time … Head coach Jim Mora begins 2nd year after setting club record for most wins by rookie coach (11)
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