Sports Betting
San Francisco (+13) at Philadelphia
The 49ers are terrible! Philadelphia was in the Superbowl! Such is the public sentiment, and the spread is as much a measure of that, as a predictor of who will actually win.
San Francisco is coming off an upset win against St. Louis, 28-25. Despite having more turnovers than the Rams, and giving up 451 offensive yards, the 49ers won by forcing St. Louis to settle for field goals on four occasions. After San Fran's 2-win season last year, the sports bettors demand more before respecting this team. Still though, this is the first time I have seen a 1-0 team getting 13 points against an 0-1 team.
This game opened with the Eagles at -12.5 and the Sharps pounded this early, until the number settled at +13/+13.5. At +13.5, many professionals were playing the 49ers, buying 2 half-pts to +14.5. The number has now finally settled at +13.
New England at Carolina O/U 43
This game opened at 45.5, and was quickly bet down by sharps through the key number 44, which hits 3% of the time. The total stabilized at 43 over 43 -108, where we are seeing two-way action.
Last year, New England had the #2 defense in the league, allowing just 16.2 points per game. Despite the off-season losses of Ty Law and other defensive players, New England looked impressive against the Raiders.
The Panther’s defense was slightly above average last year, allowing only 21.2 points per game. Carolina is coming off a 23-20 loss to New Orleans, but the score understates how much offense there was in this game. Between those two teams, there were 646 yards of total offense, which is high relative to 43 total points scored.
The real test on the total might come down to how close the game is in the 4th quarter. If either team is up by exactly two possessions, scoring tends to go up as defenses allow short yardage plays in exchange for time off the clock.
Tennessee (+6) at Florida
Tennessee struggled against UAB two weeks ago, salvaging a 17-10 win but the Vols are coming off a bye week with two weeks to prepare for this match-up. In the UAB game, Tennessee tried two different QBs and will likely play both against Florida.
Although Florida has outscored its opponents 73-17, it has yet to play a team of Tennessee's caliber. Florida coach Urban Meyer, now in his first year at Florida, had a lifetime record of 39-8 as a head coach before his 2-0 start this year.
The Gators opened as a 3.5-pt favorite, but early public money quickly drove this up to 6. The sharps are opposing the public bettors, taking Tennessee and the points. With sharps and public in opposition on the game, this spread will probably close in the +5.5 -to +6.5 range, but we are unlikely to see +7.
Northwestern at Arizona State O/U 65.5
Arizona State's offense had 563 yards on each of the last two outings, most recently against the legitimate defense of LSU. Northwestern has averaged 528 yards of offense in each of its first two games, including a 38-37 victory against Northern Illinois. Two explosive offenses and lackadaisical defenses suggest that this will be a high-scoring contest, but will it be enough to go over 65.5? While any bet could win or lose, college totals above 64 have gone under 56% of the time.
http://www.sport-betting-links.com/
http://www.sport-betting-links.com/directory/aaasportsandcasinos.html
The 49ers are terrible! Philadelphia was in the Superbowl! Such is the public sentiment, and the spread is as much a measure of that, as a predictor of who will actually win.
San Francisco is coming off an upset win against St. Louis, 28-25. Despite having more turnovers than the Rams, and giving up 451 offensive yards, the 49ers won by forcing St. Louis to settle for field goals on four occasions. After San Fran's 2-win season last year, the sports bettors demand more before respecting this team. Still though, this is the first time I have seen a 1-0 team getting 13 points against an 0-1 team.
This game opened with the Eagles at -12.5 and the Sharps pounded this early, until the number settled at +13/+13.5. At +13.5, many professionals were playing the 49ers, buying 2 half-pts to +14.5. The number has now finally settled at +13.
New England at Carolina O/U 43
This game opened at 45.5, and was quickly bet down by sharps through the key number 44, which hits 3% of the time. The total stabilized at 43 over 43 -108, where we are seeing two-way action.
Last year, New England had the #2 defense in the league, allowing just 16.2 points per game. Despite the off-season losses of Ty Law and other defensive players, New England looked impressive against the Raiders.
The Panther’s defense was slightly above average last year, allowing only 21.2 points per game. Carolina is coming off a 23-20 loss to New Orleans, but the score understates how much offense there was in this game. Between those two teams, there were 646 yards of total offense, which is high relative to 43 total points scored.
The real test on the total might come down to how close the game is in the 4th quarter. If either team is up by exactly two possessions, scoring tends to go up as defenses allow short yardage plays in exchange for time off the clock.
Tennessee (+6) at Florida
Tennessee struggled against UAB two weeks ago, salvaging a 17-10 win but the Vols are coming off a bye week with two weeks to prepare for this match-up. In the UAB game, Tennessee tried two different QBs and will likely play both against Florida.
Although Florida has outscored its opponents 73-17, it has yet to play a team of Tennessee's caliber. Florida coach Urban Meyer, now in his first year at Florida, had a lifetime record of 39-8 as a head coach before his 2-0 start this year.
The Gators opened as a 3.5-pt favorite, but early public money quickly drove this up to 6. The sharps are opposing the public bettors, taking Tennessee and the points. With sharps and public in opposition on the game, this spread will probably close in the +5.5 -to +6.5 range, but we are unlikely to see +7.
Northwestern at Arizona State O/U 65.5
Arizona State's offense had 563 yards on each of the last two outings, most recently against the legitimate defense of LSU. Northwestern has averaged 528 yards of offense in each of its first two games, including a 38-37 victory against Northern Illinois. Two explosive offenses and lackadaisical defenses suggest that this will be a high-scoring contest, but will it be enough to go over 65.5? While any bet could win or lose, college totals above 64 have gone under 56% of the time.
http://www.sport-betting-links.com/
http://www.sport-betting-links.com/directory/aaasportsandcasinos.html
posted by adairk at
10:20 p.m.
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home