Sports Betting

Saturday, September 03, 2005

Sports Betting

In 2004 the top five finishers in the NASCAR NEXTEL Cup Series SONY HD 500 were Elliott Sadler, Kasey Kahne, Mark Martin, Jamie McMurray and Ryan Newman (Listed in the order that they finished.) They will broadcast this event live on NBC, at 4:00 p.m. (PT). The actual race will start at Sunday, September 4th, 5:10 p.m. (PT).
They have Tommy Lasorda as the "Honorary Starter" in this years race at the California Speedway. This is the second annual SONY HD 500. This is also the 2nd time the NASCAR Busch Series has come to the state of California for Race twice in one year. The last time the NASCAR NEXTEL Cup Series competed two times in one year at the same track in California was in 1987, when they competed at Riverside International Raceway. Rusty Wallace won the November event and then came back to win Riverside International Raceway’s final event in 1988.

Last years winner Elliott Sadler, No. 38 M&M’s Ford set many records last year including leading 250 laps and time 3 Hrs. 53 Min. 47 Sec. (128.324 mph), on September 5, 2004 of course this was the first time there. They also had the closest margin of victory of 0.263 seconds by nosing out Kasey Kahne for the win. As a note, Rusty Wallace will make his final appearance here at the 2 mile "D" shaped oval in California.
Our pick to win the race: Elliott Sadler to repeat!
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Friday, September 02, 2005

Sports Betting

CFL Football Preview Week 11The first weekend of September means one thing in the Canadian Football League: Classic Labour Day matchups. Therefore Week 11 of the CFL sched runs a little later than usual. The annual afternoon matchups between Edmonton and Calgary and Toronto and Hamilton kick off on Monday, while there are two other prime CFL games earlier in the week. Ottawa heads to Montreal for Friday night action, while Winnipeg takes on Saskatchewan on Sunday night. Here's a closer look at these four contests . . . Friday, September 2 - Ottawa at Montreal, 7:30 pm EDTThe Renegades invade Montreal on Friday night looking for a repeat of their last meeting with the Alouettes, when they dropped them 39-36 at home in Week 2. The Renegades pulled off the upset as a 9.5-point underdog in that game. Montreal still has the oddsmakers' favor this time around, as they opened as a 6.5-point favorite in Friday's game. Ottawa is coming off a disappointing 38-17 loss to Winnipeg last week in a game in which they were favored by 3 points. That loss snapped the Renegades' three-game winning streak and kept them from holding onto a tie for first place in the East. Montreal also lost last week, their second straight, as they fell 36-26 to Edmonton as a 3-point dog. The Als have been a bettor's nightmare so far this season, going 2-7 ATS. Sunday, September 4 - Winnipeg at Saskatchewan, 7:00 pm EDTThe Blue Bombers were embarrassed by the Roughriders the last time they faced off in Week 1, and they'll be looking for a little revenge in Saskatchewan this week. The Roughriders rode all over the Bombers in a 42-15 win as an 8.5-point favorite in Week 1 as QB Nealon Greene found the end zone twice through the air and once on the ground. The Riders will only need a touchdown to cover the spread this time after opening as a 4.5-point favorite. Winnipeg had their two-game win streak snapped last week and handed Hamilton their first win of the season in a 41-39 loss. The Bombers were a 3.5-point favorite in that game and it looked like they had gotten their defense on track before surrendering 41 points to Hamilton. Things are starting to look dire in Saskatchewan as the Roughriders are riding a five-game losing streak. The Riders held their own last week against undefeated B.C., but came up short in a 19-15 loss. The Riders have been as tough on bettors as they have on their fans recently, going 1-4 ATS in their last five games. Monday, September 5 - Edmonton at Calgary, 3:00 pm EDTThe Labour Day classic kicks off in Calgary on Monday afternoon as the Eskimos and Stampeders meet up for the first time this season. Edmonton won both meetings between these two teams last season, including the Labour Day classic, 25-7 in Calgary. The Eskimos have owned the Stamps over the last number of years going 7-1 ATS against them in their last eight matchups. The Eskimos are favored again this year, by 3 points. Edmonton got past Montreal 36-26 as a 3-point favorite last week to snap their two-game losing streak. The Edmonton offense really caught fire last week, scoring a touchdown in every quarter, while QB Ricky Ray had 438 yards passing with two touchdown strikes and a four-yard TD run. Calgary continued their season trend of following up a win with a loss by falling 25-16 to Toronto as a 4.5-point dog. If the trend continues this week the Stamps should win because they haven't had two losses or two wins in a row yet this season. The Stampeders had a good shot at bucking that trend last week before they fell apart in the fourth quarter and gave up 17 points to the Argos. Monday, September 5 - Toronto at Hamilton, 5:45 pm EDTThe Tiger-Cats may not be winless anymore, but they still boast the worst record in the CFL. Hamilton will try to make it two wins in a row Monday afternoon when they host Toronto. This will be the first time these two teams clash this season after Toronto defeated Hamilton three times last year. The only game in which the Argos didn't get past the Ti-Cats and cover the spread last season was a 30-30 draw. The Argos have owned the battle of Ontario recently, going 8-0-1 in their last nine games versus Hamilton. The oddsmakers expect them to add another win to the list, pegging TO as 5-point favorites. Hamilton upset Winnipeg 41-39 as a 3.5-point underdog last week to finally post their first win of the season. The Ti-Cats still reside in the Eastern basement at 1-8, but despite their record have been a pretty good option for bettors, going 5-4 ATS on the season. Toronto reclaimed the top spot in the East with a 25-16 win over Calgary last week. The Argos are riding a two-game winning streak, but their offense has looked a little sluggish of late, averaging only 17 points in their last three games while going 0-3 over/under.
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Thursday, September 01, 2005

Sports Betting

I have noticed a trend from oddsmakers recently, as the favorites in baseball, especially teams in playoff contention, are carrying some added chalk, which makes a moneyline player a little nervous coming down the stretch. You will see some softer lines in baseball as the NCAA and NFL football season takes over, but rest assured that oddsmakers will NOT overlook sharp players who like to catch them sleeping at the wheel during the madness of the first two weeks of football, the lines will soften slightly, but the right teams will be favored, and you'll pay a price for good pitching this time of the year. Perhaps it is time for some exotic wagers, so I have stolen a passage from a previous article here I have written, that may add some profits in terms of an alternative to straight up wagers in baseball on a heavy chalk day.
In baseball the team ONLY has to win to cash tickets. It comes down to some real simple items to look at to get started, mainly pitching and hitting, that is the bottom line in the simplest of terms. I also look at slugging percentage and on base percentage and then a few intangibles. But wait a minute the novice says, I will not lay –320 with Randy Johnson, and –280 with Pedro Martinez, what if they lose? Granted it is possible, even playing a weak sister, that one of these studs may have an off day, but the beauty is you can lower the odds in baseball with exotic wagers, within reason.

Let’s say you have 2 teams, with 2 strong pitchers both laying –200 or more against a team they should clearly mop the floor with, but you don’t want to expose yourself to a heavy chalk line. I suggest a 2-team parlay, for half of your normal wager. The payout with those odds is bet $100 to win $125 for a two teamer. Worth a shot isn’t it? Remember also you can lay it on a run line too, it lowers the odds, but Team A has to beat Team B by 1.5 runs, or basically win by 2 runs in order to cash a ticket at much lower odds, once again providing you an option to make money in baseball on a side play.
The NCAA Football season kicks off this Thursday, and bettors are pouring in as far as new sign-ups for my service and the phone is ringing with excitement in the air, which causes me some concern, simply from an experience standpoint. I tend to use caution in the next 2 weeks, as 13 years of experience has taught me that nothing is, as it seems, in the opening weeks of College football. I will play the teams I have researched and will have solid info and analysis for my selections. If anyone starts to spread it around all over the place in the opening weeks, say with 7 bets or more in a day, you are asking for failure. Keep it simple guys, use the experts advise that have done their homework and use moderation with your bankroll, maybe 1/2 unit flat bet plays with 3 or more selections if you go that route. If you win, you make money, and if you have a losing day, the downside is less.
If you look to this Thursday's and the weekend NCAA football numbers, there are some large spreads, and the KEY is to look for underdogs that have the right elements to compete against the big boys that can cover a 3 or 4 touchdown spread, as some of the lines are based on public perception. Lets be honest, how sharp can a line be when there is no stats to go on. How sharp is any team going to be in week 1 with some players having not even seen varsity experience at the Division I level until this weekend's games? There may not be a ton of upsets, but there might be some scares, which means pointspread covers for underdogs.
In the NFL Preseason, look for the 1st half lines this weekend to find better odds and higher chances of winning, as many teams will not play starters past the first quarter, in some cases not more than a few series, so the REAL value lies in the first half lines, as it will be a crapshoot in the second half in a lot of these Week 4 games.
Most teams have started to cut players, and after this weekend, all teams will be down to 53 man rosters, so there will be some players taking chances to make big plays this weekend to impress the coaches and get a full time job. That results in turnovers, forced balls, penalties, and some serious scoring swings. That adds some intangible's to the situation in week 4, so the first half line is the way to look in my opinion. In some cases, certain teams will focus on a win this weekend that are winless, so some added emphasis on a game plan by coaches may in fact be a plus with a winless team, and looking into those scenario's, would be profitable, depending on each teams situation.
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Wednesday, August 31, 2005

Sports Betting

Now let us take a look at the NFC and who the Patriots will be facing for Superbowl XL. In the NFC North we have Minnesota Vikings, Green Bay Packers, Detroit Lions and the Chicago Bears. With the Bears, they have no quarterback yet again (Rex Grossman went down with an injury again) and even though their defense is great with Brian Urlacher he may not be enough to give them a .500 record. The Detroit Lions have all the tools now and if Joey Harrington can do his job they will make the wildcard. He has all the weapons you could need in Roy Williams, Charles Rogers, Marcus Pollard, and Kevin Jones. I guess the ball is in Joey’s court. If he doesn't "bring it" by week 4 or so expect coach Mariucci to end the "Harrington experiment" and give the backup a shot.
Green Bay is a whole problem by itself even though they have Brett Favre, Ahman Green, Bubba Franks, Javon Walker and Donald Driver. The team really has no defense and you just can’t win with out that fellas. Last but not least, we have the Minnesota Vikings with Daunte Culpepper, Nate Burleson, Michael Bennett and minus the troublesome Randy Moss. Losing Moss hurt athletically but intellectually they have now become a better team with a more cohesive lineup. They will win there division easily.
In the NFC South we have the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, New Orleans Saints, Carolina Panthers and the Atlanta Falcons. Let us look at the Buc’s first and on that note there is not much to say except that Cadillac Williams and Brian Greise will help this team, just not enough this year. Then there are the "Aints." Ya know if Aaron Brooks were to get canned and their third string QB Kliff Kingsbury was to replace him it would probably create better results. The Saints have Joe Horn, Donte' Stallworth, Deuce McAllister and somewhat of a defense, the only thing that they are missing is a real QB. One day they'll figure it out and get somebody else in there, or will they?
The Carolina Panthers with DeShaun Foster, Steve Smith, the massive Julius Peppers and Jake Delhomme need only to stay healthy and they just very well may make it back to the division finals but they will need to get there as a wildcard. Last but not least our division winner... the Atlanta Falcons. With Michael Vick, Alge Crumpler, T.J. Duckett and Warrick Dunn there is no stopping them to getting back to winning their division. Vick will of course need to stay healthy which we believe he will as the plan is to have him run less and become more of a pocket passer. The guy could get away with it in his college days and in the college game but NFL defenses are simply too big and fast for his brittle frame. Nonetheless, the Falcons appear to be the winner here.
In the NFC East we have the reigning NFC Champion Philadelphia Eagles, Dallas Cowboys, Washington Redskins and N.Y. Giants. With the Giants, Eli Manning needs another year or two. But don’t give up, good times are coming Giants fans. On to the Redskins with a BETTER than ever Brunell at QB. This offense features Clinton Portis, David Patten and Santana Moss. You would think that the Redskins stand a chance but even with Joe Gibbs they don’t this year. Better luck next year guys.
Well coach Parcel’s finally did it. He might have the right team to make Jerry Jones happy and go back to the Super Bowl. Getting Drew Bledsoe into an offense featuring Julius Jones, Jason Witten, Keyshawn Johnson and Terry Glenn just may be the answer if the D can hold up. Then there are the Eagles. Can they hold it together with all the media and B.S. as well as there internal struggle with Terrell Owens/Donovan McNabb. If the team continues to have internal turmoil they could implode by mid season and look "simply average." Even with a healthy Brian Westbrook they will not win their division this year, that honor will go to the Dallas Cowboys.
Now we move on to the NFC West with the San Francisco 49ers, Arizona Cardinals, St. Louis Rams and Seattle Seahawks. The 49ers are working on rebuilding for the what, 5th year? But they really think that they have the answer NOW with Rookie QB Alex Smith who they will sit for opening day. The days of Joe Montana are long gone here as even if Smith had the skills, their offensive line is nothing better than average and he's going to be thrown around like a ragdoll by opposing defenses, especially with no run game to respect.
The Arizona Cardinals look good this year with players Anquan Boldin, Larry Fitzgerald, J.J. Arrington and what should be a "better" Kurt Warner. Most people say that Warner is done, guess again guys. On to St. Louis and the Rams Torry Holt, Isaac Bruce, Marc Bulger, Steven Jackson and his now back up Marshall Faulk. Can the Rams go the distance? Time will tell, but we don't think so. Not this yr. Last we have the Seattle Seahawks. Coach Holmgren has really done a good job at assembling this team that appears to have everything but star wide receivers. Darrell Jackson is probably going to shine though this year in the prime of his careeer and Bobby Engram is a great possession receive. We like this team as a darkhorse to win a bunch of games with a more improved QB Matt Hasselback however we see the Arizona Cardinals winning the division. Dennis Green's hard work will prove to finally pay off.
Ok, let's recap my picks:The Vikings, Falcons, Cowboys, Cardinals, Panthers, and the Eagles. The Falcons play the Cowboys and the D is too much for Vick to overcome and the Cowboys go back to the Superbowl with a final score of 27-21 with Dallas coming out on the victorious end. Then Dallas meets Manning’s Colts at Superbowl XL with the Cowboys not being able to handle the high octane offense and Peyton and company finally get their just reward stifling all the doubting Thomas’s of the Football World. Final score 37–14 Colts
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Tuesday, August 30, 2005

Sports Betting

2006 Superbowl Predictions
In the AFC North you have the Cleveland Browns, Cincinnati Bengals, Pittsburgh Steelers and the Baltimore Ravens. In this division it is pretty much up in the air. Can Big Ben Roethlisberger repeat last year’s rookie season? Not a real great showing in pre-season this year but that's not a strong enough indicator. Can Cleveland ever do anything right? Are the Bengals worthy? They sure have some great offensive weapons in Rudy Johnson, Chad Johnson and Carson Palmer. Can the Raven’s D make the difference? With Ray Lewis, Neon Deion Sanders, Kyle Boller, Jamal Lewis and Todd Heap the only team that seems to stand up is the Baltimore Ravens and they should win this division.
In the AFC South there seems to be no stopping one team and they didn’t get any worse in the off season. But let’s look at the division with the Tennessee Titans, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars and the Indianapolis Colts. Each team here has shown signs of brilliance in the past few years but hands down the champion in this division is the Indianapolis Colts (despite having a mediocre defense.) They still have Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison, Edgerrin James and Brandon Stokley and still have one of the most explosive offenses in the game. Adding to the mix is defensive minded coach Tony Dungy who is a major factor in improving the teams defense each and every year he's been in Indy.
Now let us look at the AFC East Miami Dolphins, Buffalo Bills, New York Jets and the reigning Superbowl champs the New England Patriots. Can Ricky Williams still run like the wind even though he has taken a year off to "find himself?" I would say no but the jury is still out on this one. The one thing that Miami needed was to improve there offensive line and even former LSU coach Nick Saban can not help this team. The Buffalo Bills can not survive with J.P. Losman as their starter. Their defense is tough but the offense may be a nightmare.. On to the N.Y. Jets, Chad Pennington and the Jets have a shot at the wild card. Last but definently not least, the 3 time world champion New England Patriots. They have lost some defense and their offensive coordinator but they haven’t lost their determination which is "no one comes before the team." They still have Tom Brady and Corey Dillon and a firey goal to get back to the Superbowl. They will win their division.
In the AFC we are to the West Division including the Oakland Raiders, Denver Broncos, San Diego Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs. Oakland went out and got Randy Moss and is showing signs of life but it won't be enough. Randy's off field and sideline antics cross cancel the briliance he shows on the field so we make him a non factor. Dude really needs to keep his mouth shut. His latest public tirade included letting us all know that he smokes dope sometimes during the year. Too bad he can't talk about winning games rather than smoking dope, 'nough said.
Denver has a running game just like every year but can Jake “the snake� Plummer lead them to the promise land? His past has been checkered with inconsistency however he's coming into the prime of his career and we may see huge numbers, especially with the good group of receivers he has. We REALLY like Ashley Lelie. The Chargers have Drew Brees and LaDainian Tomlinson but they still have no field goal kicker and they may have a good year and make the wild card if they can follow up on a season in which we feel they over achieved.. Then we have the Kansas City Chiefs who we should see more of the same from, great on offense, questionable on defense but good enough to potentially make the playoffs. A lot will hinge on the legs of stud RB Priest Holmes.
So we have the Ravens, Colts, Patriots, Chiefs, Jets and the Broncos. In the AFC title game I believe it will be the same as the last year’s title game as no team can handle the team play of New England or the high octane offense of the Colts. The road to the Superbowl runs thru Foxboro yet again and with manning 0-7 there one would think that he just can’t win there. However this is the year for manning to secure his legacy and finally make it to the big dance they will beat the Patriots 27- 20 in the bitter snow and cold.
Tomorrow the NFC
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Monday, August 29, 2005

Sports Betting

Learning to Play Texasholdem Poker
Texasholdem is truly a fun game whether you are sitting at a brick and mortar casino or playing online at one of the many poker rooms out there. The first thing that you will need to know is how the hands rank. Here they are in order of strong suit from highest to lowest:

Royal Flush: This is the best hand possible. Absolutely nothing can beat it. It consists of the top five consecutive cards of the same suit. For example, Ad, Kd, Qd, Jd, Td.(The "d" stands for diamonds; suit does NOT matter in a flush)Straight Flush: This is the second best hand. It consists of five consecutive cards of the same suit. For example: 8s, 9s, 10s, Js, Qs. ("s" = spades)Four of a Kind: This is any four cards that are the same rank.Full House: This is Three-of-a-Kind plus Two-of-a-Kind together in the same hand.Flush: This is five cards of the same suit, but not consecutive.Straight: This is five cards in consecutive order, but not necessarily the same suit.Three-of-a-Kind: This is three cards that are the same rank.Two Pair: This is two sets of two cards that are the same rank.Pair: This is two cards that are the same rank.High Card: This is when you have a hand with none of the above and are relying on your highest card.
Ok, now let’s jump into the rules. Each player is dealt 2 cards face down. These are known as your hole cards or pockets. Then there is a round of betting. This is based on your hole cards whether they are premium cards or not. If the two cards aren't strong enough to play, you fold or muck. After this round of betting there is the flop with another round of betting (explained more below.) Then you have the turn followed by another round of betting. The last card the dealer deals is called "the river" which is followed by yet another round of betting. Last there is the showdown where you will reveal your cards to the remaining players at the table. If you have the best hand at that time you will win "the pot." If not, another player will rake the pot (win.)
Ok, I know that was the fast version now we need to go over a few terms to better help you learn how to play texasholdem poker:
The Burn: This is a card that is taken off the top of the deck and placed face down in the muck.The Flop: These are the first 3 cards that are turned face up after the first round of betting.The Muck: This is all cards that are folded as well as the burn cards. Generally found in the center of the table or beside the dealer.The Blinds: This is a forced bet by the 2 players on the dealers left. The small blind is half the size of the big blind.The Action: Action is whether you fold, call, bet or raise. If you call a bet you place the same amount of money or chips in the pot. If you raise you place at least two times the amount of the bet and if you place a bet you will put out a minimum amount based on what game you are playing or what level you are at in a tournament.
Tournaments can be great fun! Online poker rooms have games that are fixed limit, no limit and pot limit. They have mini tournaments, single table, and multi-table as well as 1 on 1’s, sit and go’s and scheduled tournaments. Online poker rooms also offer many tools that are helpful like pot odds calculators, number of outs calculators and hand chances calculators. Theabove listed is just a small taste of what you have to look forward to in your online texasholdem venture!
Good luck with your action and may the chips come your way!
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Sunday, August 28, 2005

Sports Betting

Betting Terms
ACTION
A bet
B.R.
Bankroll
BAD BEAT
Tough loss
BEARD
Messenger bettor
BEEF
Dispute
BUCK
$100
CHALK
Favorite
CHALK EATER
Favorite bettor
CHURN
The effect of betting and rebetting money
CIRCLE GAME
Game where action is limited due to uncertainties about weather, injuries, etc.
COVER
Win by more than the pointspread
DEGENERATE
Compulsive gambler
DIME
$1000
DOLLAR
$100
EARN
Practical hold percentage
EDGE
Advantage
EXOTIC BET
Action other than a straight bet or parlay
FIGURE
Amount owed by or to a bookmaker
FORM
What performance is to be expected according to how a team or horse looks on paper
GET DOWN
Make a bet
GROSS WIN
Win before expenses
HANDICAPPER
One who studies sports and predicts outcomes
HANDLE
Total amount of bets taken
HEDGE
Bet the opposite of your original wager in order to reduce the amount of action you have on a game
HOOK
Half point in pointspreads, as in "lost by the hook"
HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE
Edge the home team is expected to have as a result of the familiarity with the arena and effect of travel on the visiting team.
HOOP
Basketball
HOT TIP
Information the bookmaker is not yet privy to



JUICE
Bookmaker's commission, most often refers to the 11 to 10 football bettors lay on straight wagers; vigorish
LAY A PRICE
Bet a favorite, lay the points
LIMIT
Maximum bet accepted by the house before the price will be changed
LINE
The betting proposition on a game and/or payoff odds on the bet
LONGSHOT
Large underdog
MIDDLE
To win both sides of a game. For example, if you bet the underdog +3 1/2 and the favorite -2 1/2 and the favorite wins by 3, you've MIDDLED the book. The book has BEEN MIDDLED.
MINUS POOL
In pari-mutuel wagering, when after the take is extracted, there is not enough money left to pay winning patrons the minimum bet. The track must then make up the difference.
MUTUEL
Price paid on a winning pari-mutuel wager
NEUTRAL SITE
Arena, court, or field where neither side has a home field advantage
NICKEL
$500
OFF THE BOARD
Game where no bets are being accepted
OUT
Bookmaker, usually refers to an illegal bookmaker
OVERLAY
When the odds on a proposition are in favor of the bettor rather than the house
PARLAY
A bet with two or more teams where all the teams must win for the bettor to be successful
PAST POST
To make a bet after an event has started
PICK or PICK'EM
A game where neither team is favored
PLAYER
Bettor, gambler
PRACTICAL HOLD PERCENTAGE
The amount won be a bookmaker divided by the total amount booked
PRESS
To bet a larger amount than usual
PRICE
Line
PUPPY
Underdog
PUSH
Tie
ROUND ROBIN
A series of parlays. A three team round robin consists of three two-team parlays.
RUNDOWN
Line update
SCALPER
One who attempts to profit from the differences in odds from book to book by betting both sides of the same game at different prices
SCORE
To win a lot of money
SCRATCH
Withdraw; cancel
SHARP
Wise guy
SIDE
To win one side and tie the other. For example, if you lay -2 1/2 and take 3 on the same game and the favorite wins by 3 you have SIDED the book. The book has been SIDED.
SQUARE
Unsophisticated gambler
STEAM
Heavy action on one side
STRAIGHT BET
A bet on just one team
SUCKER BET
Bet with a large house edge
TAKE A PRICE
Bet the underdog, take the points
TAPPED OUT
Broke, busted, common result of pressing
THEORICAL HOLD PERCENTAGE
The edge the bookmaker would have IF the odds guaranteed him a constant commission regardless of the outcome
TOSS UP
Game where the line is close to pick-em
TOUT SERVICE
A business that sells opinions on sporting events
UNDERLAY
When the odds on a proposition are in favor of the house
VALUE
An overlay
VIGORISH
Juice
WISE GUY
Established and successful sports bettor
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