Sports Betting
I have noticed a trend from oddsmakers recently, as the favorites in baseball, especially teams in playoff contention, are carrying some added chalk, which makes a moneyline player a little nervous coming down the stretch. You will see some softer lines in baseball as the NCAA and NFL football season takes over, but rest assured that oddsmakers will NOT overlook sharp players who like to catch them sleeping at the wheel during the madness of the first two weeks of football, the lines will soften slightly, but the right teams will be favored, and you'll pay a price for good pitching this time of the year. Perhaps it is time for some exotic wagers, so I have stolen a passage from a previous article here I have written, that may add some profits in terms of an alternative to straight up wagers in baseball on a heavy chalk day.
In baseball the team ONLY has to win to cash tickets. It comes down to some real simple items to look at to get started, mainly pitching and hitting, that is the bottom line in the simplest of terms. I also look at slugging percentage and on base percentage and then a few intangibles. But wait a minute the novice says, I will not lay –320 with Randy Johnson, and –280 with Pedro Martinez, what if they lose? Granted it is possible, even playing a weak sister, that one of these studs may have an off day, but the beauty is you can lower the odds in baseball with exotic wagers, within reason.
Let’s say you have 2 teams, with 2 strong pitchers both laying –200 or more against a team they should clearly mop the floor with, but you don’t want to expose yourself to a heavy chalk line. I suggest a 2-team parlay, for half of your normal wager. The payout with those odds is bet $100 to win $125 for a two teamer. Worth a shot isn’t it? Remember also you can lay it on a run line too, it lowers the odds, but Team A has to beat Team B by 1.5 runs, or basically win by 2 runs in order to cash a ticket at much lower odds, once again providing you an option to make money in baseball on a side play.
The NCAA Football season kicks off this Thursday, and bettors are pouring in as far as new sign-ups for my service and the phone is ringing with excitement in the air, which causes me some concern, simply from an experience standpoint. I tend to use caution in the next 2 weeks, as 13 years of experience has taught me that nothing is, as it seems, in the opening weeks of College football. I will play the teams I have researched and will have solid info and analysis for my selections. If anyone starts to spread it around all over the place in the opening weeks, say with 7 bets or more in a day, you are asking for failure. Keep it simple guys, use the experts advise that have done their homework and use moderation with your bankroll, maybe 1/2 unit flat bet plays with 3 or more selections if you go that route. If you win, you make money, and if you have a losing day, the downside is less.
If you look to this Thursday's and the weekend NCAA football numbers, there are some large spreads, and the KEY is to look for underdogs that have the right elements to compete against the big boys that can cover a 3 or 4 touchdown spread, as some of the lines are based on public perception. Lets be honest, how sharp can a line be when there is no stats to go on. How sharp is any team going to be in week 1 with some players having not even seen varsity experience at the Division I level until this weekend's games? There may not be a ton of upsets, but there might be some scares, which means pointspread covers for underdogs.
In the NFL Preseason, look for the 1st half lines this weekend to find better odds and higher chances of winning, as many teams will not play starters past the first quarter, in some cases not more than a few series, so the REAL value lies in the first half lines, as it will be a crapshoot in the second half in a lot of these Week 4 games.
Most teams have started to cut players, and after this weekend, all teams will be down to 53 man rosters, so there will be some players taking chances to make big plays this weekend to impress the coaches and get a full time job. That results in turnovers, forced balls, penalties, and some serious scoring swings. That adds some intangible's to the situation in week 4, so the first half line is the way to look in my opinion. In some cases, certain teams will focus on a win this weekend that are winless, so some added emphasis on a game plan by coaches may in fact be a plus with a winless team, and looking into those scenario's, would be profitable, depending on each teams situation.
http://www.sport-betting-links.com/
http://www.sport-betting-links.com/directory/aaasportsandcasinos.html
In baseball the team ONLY has to win to cash tickets. It comes down to some real simple items to look at to get started, mainly pitching and hitting, that is the bottom line in the simplest of terms. I also look at slugging percentage and on base percentage and then a few intangibles. But wait a minute the novice says, I will not lay –320 with Randy Johnson, and –280 with Pedro Martinez, what if they lose? Granted it is possible, even playing a weak sister, that one of these studs may have an off day, but the beauty is you can lower the odds in baseball with exotic wagers, within reason.
Let’s say you have 2 teams, with 2 strong pitchers both laying –200 or more against a team they should clearly mop the floor with, but you don’t want to expose yourself to a heavy chalk line. I suggest a 2-team parlay, for half of your normal wager. The payout with those odds is bet $100 to win $125 for a two teamer. Worth a shot isn’t it? Remember also you can lay it on a run line too, it lowers the odds, but Team A has to beat Team B by 1.5 runs, or basically win by 2 runs in order to cash a ticket at much lower odds, once again providing you an option to make money in baseball on a side play.
The NCAA Football season kicks off this Thursday, and bettors are pouring in as far as new sign-ups for my service and the phone is ringing with excitement in the air, which causes me some concern, simply from an experience standpoint. I tend to use caution in the next 2 weeks, as 13 years of experience has taught me that nothing is, as it seems, in the opening weeks of College football. I will play the teams I have researched and will have solid info and analysis for my selections. If anyone starts to spread it around all over the place in the opening weeks, say with 7 bets or more in a day, you are asking for failure. Keep it simple guys, use the experts advise that have done their homework and use moderation with your bankroll, maybe 1/2 unit flat bet plays with 3 or more selections if you go that route. If you win, you make money, and if you have a losing day, the downside is less.
If you look to this Thursday's and the weekend NCAA football numbers, there are some large spreads, and the KEY is to look for underdogs that have the right elements to compete against the big boys that can cover a 3 or 4 touchdown spread, as some of the lines are based on public perception. Lets be honest, how sharp can a line be when there is no stats to go on. How sharp is any team going to be in week 1 with some players having not even seen varsity experience at the Division I level until this weekend's games? There may not be a ton of upsets, but there might be some scares, which means pointspread covers for underdogs.
In the NFL Preseason, look for the 1st half lines this weekend to find better odds and higher chances of winning, as many teams will not play starters past the first quarter, in some cases not more than a few series, so the REAL value lies in the first half lines, as it will be a crapshoot in the second half in a lot of these Week 4 games.
Most teams have started to cut players, and after this weekend, all teams will be down to 53 man rosters, so there will be some players taking chances to make big plays this weekend to impress the coaches and get a full time job. That results in turnovers, forced balls, penalties, and some serious scoring swings. That adds some intangible's to the situation in week 4, so the first half line is the way to look in my opinion. In some cases, certain teams will focus on a win this weekend that are winless, so some added emphasis on a game plan by coaches may in fact be a plus with a winless team, and looking into those scenario's, would be profitable, depending on each teams situation.
http://www.sport-betting-links.com/
http://www.sport-betting-links.com/directory/aaasportsandcasinos.html
posted by adairk at
5:34 p.m.
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