Sports Betting

Tuesday, October 04, 2005

Sports Betting

The Big 12 Report
A huge weekend in the Big 12 this week, with the Red River Shootout between Texas and Oklahoma taking center stage in Dallas at the Cotton Bowl at the Texas State fair this Saturday. Texas is installed as a 14-point favorite, and Mac Brown as head coach of the Longhorns has never beaten OU, which may change this year. Texas destroyed Missou last week, and Oklahoma got healthy against an overrated Kansas State team in Norman. All world running back Adrian Petersen is questionable for this game for the Sooners, and it would be a major hit if he does not play for OU, as he is their main weapon on offense, he has a sprained ankle.
There are plenty of key games this week as Texas AM travels to Colorado in what should be a shootout, and the Aggies struggled last week in OT before beating a pesky Baylor team who has proven they are a good opponent for anyone at 3-1 on the year. Most surprising to me was Nebraska beating Iowa St. in OT in Lincoln, my top play, which did not cover. Iowa St blew so many chances to put this game away, and while Nebraska's offense was in the bottom 10 in Division I football, JUCO transfer Zach Taylor broke Nebraska's all time passing yardage record of over 400 yards through the air, set by long time ex-Raider David Humm in 1974. Before this game QB Taylor hadpassed for 207 yards in 2 games versus Division I opponents. Nebraska takes on Texas Tech this week in Lincoln. Here are some breakdowns on what is going on this Saturday in the Big 12.

Texas AM @ Colorado (-3)
Defense is KEY for the Buffalos off a blowout win in Stillwater last week against Oklahoma State. They ranked in the top 20 in the nation on defense allowing only 292 yards per game and 12 ppg, while allowing only 78 yards per rush, and remember they played Miami in Miami 2 weeks ago in a 20 point loss. Both teams at 3-1 here, but I have a feeling Aggie QB Reggie McNeal may have a big day, since the Buffalos have yet to see anyone of his caliber yet this season. An excellent passer with 8 TD passes, look for AM to keep it close in a hard fought battle here, last year AM won in College Station by 3, too close to call here, but Joel Klatt from Colorado should find some success through the air. should be a good one in Boulder.
Kansas @ Kansas State (-6.5)
Until last years win by Kansas at home, Kansas St had won 9 straight in the series out of the last 10, and had outscored KU 302-40, in what was little more than an afternoon triscut for the Wildcats, as they feasted on KU time and time again in a glorified scrimmage, but times have changed. Both schools lost road games last week, but it was Kansas in their loss that was much more impressive than K State getting hammered by Oklahoma, as the Jayhawks held the Texas Tech Red Raiders in Lubbock to 30 points, and losing by 13. Defense is the strength of Kansas, and they are getting play out of their QB and the running game. In what should be a lower scoring game than the norm in this series, I'll take the dog here to make it interesting.
Baylor @ Iowa State (-8.5)
The Bears have some claws this year folks, with a spread offense that is hard to defend and a 3-1 record, coming off an impressive OT lost to high powered Texas AM last week. If they could contain Reggie McNeal of the Aggies, then Bret Meyer should be an easy task. The highly touted QB of the Cyclones struggled against mixed blitzes from the Huskers last week, and was ineffective running the ball. Also running back Hicks is questionable for the Cyclones as well, and will not be 100%. One common opponent, they both played Army, with Baylor winning 20-10 and ISU winning 27-20, both played at Army on the road. When you allow Nebraska of all people to throw for over 400 yards against you, and are facing a spread attack after a double OT loss, laying over 8 points, one must side with Baylor here to keep it close against a deflated ISU team that failed to win a HUGE game they had pointed to all season.
Oklahoma vs. Texas (-13.5) and Missouri (-5.5) @ Oklahoma St.
My Featured Plays of the Week
All in all, a terrific week in the Big 12 with a key games at Nebraska, in Dallas, and in Boulder Colorado, along with the battle for bragging rights in the state of Kansas. Off a 1-2 week last week in the Big 12 with my selections, I have found some REAL opportunity this week and may in fact make a move on Texas Tech and Nebraska as well. Injury reports will decide which way I lean and what games at week's end I take. There will be a ton of questions answered this week as far as pretenders and contenders go, so stay tuned!
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