Sports Betting

Sunday, January 15, 2006

Sports Betting

NFL Handicapping
This Dog May Be Barking
Carolina Panthers vs. Chicago BearsPanthers +3 If you are looking for a highflying, gun slinging game, with back and forth action including long runs and deep thrown bombs, you have definitely tuned into the wrong playoff game. What you can expect here is a hard hitting, scheming defensive battle that pits two teams that will refuse to make a mistake. The great defensive minds and teams of John Fox and Lovie Smith will fact off in the battle in cold Chicago and we fully anticipate this game to be a field goad battle which makes the +3 points on the visiting team some good value this weekend. The Panthers have over the past few years absolutely excelled at the role of road underdog while this will be the first time in a long time that the Bears will not only be in the playoffs but has the difficult task of not only defending home field but doing so as a favourite. Although this home favourite is only giving up 3 points for home field this is a team that barely averaged more than 14 points per game on offence, most of which were directly scored by the defence it self or as the result of a good field position from a defensive play. The problem here for the Bears is that they will face an equally tough defence. Although from a statistical standpoint the Panthers are not the Bears equal, form a personnel and scheming perspective we feel the Panthers can play up to par with the Bears and the biggest difference in this game is that Carolina will attacking a very raw QB in Rex Grossman while the Bears will be attacking a seasoned veteran in Jake Delhomme. The Panthers will also feature by far the best playmaker on offence with star wideout and punt returner Steve Smith. Both teams feature good place kickers and because of the cold weather expected they will be called upon often in this game. Look for a very deliberate game plan from both coaching staffs in which the field position game takes precedence when making important play calls. Neither team should move the ball consistently and turnovers will be paramount as well as special teams play. We look for the Bears whom we feel have overachieved this year to make one critical mistake and give up one big play to Smith which should be enough to keep the Panthers inside the number. Overall this game is a toss up and if you played this game 10 times you would get 10 different results. The one consistent thing though would be that whomever scores last would get the win with a field goal and when you have a good road team getting those 3 points, we will play on them every time.
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