Sports Betting

Saturday, January 07, 2006

Sports Betting

Talk to anyone in the Deep South and they'll tell you: when there's a freak winter storm, cities practically shut down.
People stock up on groceries and become terrified to venture outside lest they get hypothermia.
People in the north chuckle at such reactions since snow and freezing temperatures are endured, day-in and day-out, throughout the dreary winter months.
There is no denying that is takes time to acclimatize to the cold, and for this reason, there is a common belief that NFL teams based in the North have an advantage over teams from the South at this time of year.
As evidence, people point to success the New England Patriots have had up in Foxboro where games are often accompanied by snow storms and frigid temps.
There's also the old theory about the Miami Dolphins, who many say have difficulty beating northern teams during in the winter months. The fact that they haven't won the Super Bowl since 1974 is somewhat telling.
At the same time, there are many who argue that winter weather is of little consequence in the NFL, and that it's of equal disadvantage to both teams.
That said, it's hard to imagine the players from Jacksonville are looking forward to the weather that's in store for this Saturday night when they will face the Patriots in the AFC Wild Card at Gillette Stadium (8 p.m. ET, ABC).
Temperatures are expected to be in the mid-30s, but could dip as low as 19 degrees. There is also expected to be a slight breeze that could make things feels even chillier. Fortunately for the Jags, there is a zero percent chance of precipitation.

Not surprisingly, the Jags scoff at the notion of being at a disadvantage weather-wise and point to their 20-14 win in Cleveland on Dec. 4. On that day, the temperature was 28 degrees dipping to 15 with the wind chill.
There was also the game last December at Lambeau Field, where they beat Brett Favre and the Packers 28-25. On that day it was 12 degrees on the frozen tundra with a wind chill that made it feel like minus-3.
"I don't think the weather will bother us," Jacksonville quarterback Byron Leftwich told reporters this week. "It was 10 degrees in Green Bay. It cannot possibly get any colder than that, because at some point your body can't feel it. At some point, your whole body gets numb.
"Under 15 degrees, it doesn't matter if it is 10 degrees or -5 degrees, because it's cold."
Leftwich makes a good point, but bear in mind the Jags are not facing the Packers or the Browns, they're facing the defending Super Bowl champions.
The Patriots have won nine straight playoff games, which is tied for the NFL record. They've also won their last seven playoff games at home, including their past three at Gillette Stadium.
The Patriots, who have recorded a 30-6 all-time record at Gillette Stadium, are listed as 7.5-point favorites for Saturday's game.
The Pats are 10-6 SU overall, 5-3 SU at home, and 8-8 ATS this season; the Jaguars are 12-4 SU overall, 6-2 SU on the road, and 9-5-2 ATS. The total for the game has been pegged at just 37. Yet both teams have seen most of their games go over the posted total this year. The Pats are 9-6-1 on the OVER/UNDER; the Jags are 10-5-1.
Another team that will be venturing into colder climes this weekend will be the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers will be in New Jersey to take on the New York Giants in the NFC Wild Card (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX).
The weather at Giants Stadium won't be as cold as in Foxboro, but it will certainly be colder than what Carolina is used to. Temps could dip into the 30s with winds gusting up to 19 mph. The probability of precipitation is 30 percent.
The Panthers haven't played a cold weather game since Nov. 27 when they beat the Bills 13-9 in Buffalo. Temperature on that day was a cool 41 degrees.
Because of the colder temps in East Rutherford, the field turf surface of Giants Stadium is expected to be harder come game time, something that might also favor the home team.
The Giants are listed as 2.5-point home favorites and the total has been set at 43. New York is 11-5 SU overall, 8-1 SU at home, and 10-5-1 ATS this season; the Panthers are 11-5 SU overall, 6-2 SU on the road, and 9-7 ATS.
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