Sports Betting
Inside the NFL Spread - Week 14
Sunday December 11, 2005 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers -4.5 (37)Both teams come in off straight up and ATS victories. Bucs won on the road as 3.5 point favorites in New Orleans, while the Panthers won at home vs. Falcons as 3 point favorites. This will be another big divisional game for both teams. Carolina was just a 3 point favorite over the Falcons, yet they open up as 4.5 chalk over another divisional team that has a better record than their previous opponent and apparently the early money is all over them. New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills +3 (37)Patriots won as a 10.5 favorite last week while the Bills covered but lost in the final seconds of the game to rival Dolphins. Patriots attack mostly through the air but Corey Dillon finally appears healthy and gets to go against the second worst run defense in the league. Bills are 4-2 ATS at home but Patriots are 3-3 ATS on the road. Bills average just 140 yards passing per game but gets to face a team that gives up over 250 passing yards per game. This looks like a small number on the world champs that may be ready to make a run even if it is against weaker teams, and in all likelihood chalk players will lay more than 3 by game time. St. Louis Rams vs. Minnesota Vikings -7 (44.5)Vikings have won and covered 5 in a row. Offence continues to operate under Brad Johnson and has eliminated mistakes that cost them games early in the season. The Vikings also have a top ranked defense over the past month. This looks like a big number but the Rams will once again be down to their third string QB, and have glaring holes in the secondary as well as the line backer crew because of injury. This looks like a tale of two teams heading in completely opposite direction, but 7 is a hard number to move off of but could go either way Chicago Bears vs. Pittsburgh Steelers -6 (30.5)The best defense in the league visits the Pittsburgh Steelers who have lost convincingly back to back and have 3 losses in a row overall. Steelers just 3 point favorite last week over the Bengals but this week they are laying 6 points against a Bears team that has won 8 straight games with a mixture of fantastic defense that gets turnovers and scores points, a great running game and an offence that does just enough on the field despite looking terrible statistically. A big number here for the home team despite the fact they look to battling for the playoff lives. Interestingly enough, the number was actually bet up to 6 from the opening line of 4. Oakland Raiders vs. New York Jets +3 (37)Raiders could not cover 11 points last week in the San Diego and for some reason are now instilled as 3 point favorite over the Jets. Jets have been brutal on the road but are 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS at home. Raiders have to content with a 14 spread shift to get the cover, and also must content with themselves as they appear to be sulking on the field and are one of the worst offenders in the penalty department again this year. Jets look to be a live home dog as their defense matches up well against the Raiders offence. Last time the Jets opened up as a small home dog, they were bet up to a small favorite but could not get the cover against the Saints. Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars +7.5 (42)Colts go for win number 13 in a row facing a Jaguars team that has 5 games in row as well. Jaguar's injury problems well documented but you should see Fred Taylor back this week. Jaguars held the Colts to just 10 points their first meeting but could only score 3 points themselves in the defensive battle. Colts are making it look easy on offence recently and the defense is often pitching in with points as well. This game will be a huge step up in class for both teams as they beat the Titans and Brown last week respectively. Despite the fact the number is already big, like all Colts games this year, it will probably be bet up higher later in the week. Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans -6.5 (44)Houston the official leader for the number 1 overall draft pick as they are winners of just 1 game this year and have lost 5 in a row. They did look to have a little bit of jump against the Ravens last week and could look the same as the Titans are not much better, if at all. Titans got blown out by the Colts last week getting 17 points and this week look to cover a 23.5 point shift as they are big favorites at home. They were in this role just a few weeks ago and took care of the 49ers after a slow start. Houston is the worst team in the league, but this is a winnable game for them as they are 4-2 ATS as a visitor. Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals -12 (43)Bengals are fresh off a big win in Pittsburgh last week. Their offence is in high gear as they scored the most points ever against Bill Cower's Steelers defense. The Browns can bring it defensively and looked good last week for the first half offensively behind Charlie Frye, but absolutely dreadful in the second half. Begals will look to cover a 15 point swing as they were 3 point dogs last week. Cleveland is just 2-4 ATS on the road, but the Bengals carry the identical record at home. Dog players should wait to play this line as there is a good chance you will get more points on Sunday. Washington Redskins vs. Arizona Cardinals +3.5 (41)Redskins are road favorites on back to back weeks. Both these teams that used to be divisional rivals are in off wins in the road favorite role. The Cardinals actually lead the league in passing yards but the Redskins are 11th overall in defending the pass. Washington is average defending the ground game but the Cardinals are dead last in the league in rushing yards averaging just 65 yards per game on the ground. Redskins are still in the playoff hunt while the Cardinals are playing for pride while showcasing perhaps the best new one two punch receivers in the game. Skins will need to control Boldin and Fitzgerald to have any chance of winning SU and covering. New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles - No LineNo line is available as of this writing but the Giants will be small road favorite despite this being a divisional game. Eagles showed absolutely no life on Monday night and face a Giants team that is playing well on both sides of the football. Injuries could be an even bigger problem as RB Brian Westbrook could not finish up for the Eagles on Monday. Eagles have covered 4 of past 5, Giants have struggled on the road, are having huge problems in the kicking game and the Eagles defense can still play. If this line opens up too large their could be value in the Eagles. San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks -15.5 (44)The Seahawks have openened up as 15.5 point favorite and one has to imagine if this number is anywhere near high enough to draw any money on the dog. When a team wins as big as the Seahawks did on Monday Night Football the line is bound to be inflated. Despite the big line, its perfection vs. desolate perfection as the Seahawks put their 6-0 home record on the line vs. the 49ers 0-5 road record. Players should be laying closer to 17 points by game time. Miami Dolphins vs. San Diego Chargers -14 (45)This line also seems a little inflated but the Chargers are a spectacular 8-3-1 ATS this season and have dominated their past few home games. Miami comes in off a big last second victory in a game which they were laying 4.5 points against Buffalo so they do get the benefit of a big 18.5 point swing in their favor. San Diego rush defense is excellent but Miami does have options in the backfield. Dolphins will need to get a big performance from who ever is under center. Books will have a very hard time getting fish money. Baltimore Ravens vs. Denver Broncos -14 (40.5)Ravens come in actually having won 2 of their past 3. The problem is that Denver has won 8 of their past 10 including last week. Ravens are winless on the road at 0-6 with just one decent performance while Denver is perfect at home at 6-0 with mostly dominating performances. Broncos should dominate on the ground as they gain 70 more yards per game on the ground. This is a big number but rightfully so, and most of the money will be on the Broncos. Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys -3 (44.5)Chiefs are off a huge win last week as they hosted the Broncos and are just 1 game behind the Broncos. Cowboys off back to back losses to the Broncos and Giants and need a win as they now chase the Giants in the division. Chiefs offence is averaging 34 ppg their past 3 game and 429 yards of offence. Cowboys give up just 81 rushing yards per game at home but will be severely tested. This line is going to get plenty action both ways and a move is unlikely as they Cowboys lay 3 for home field advantage. Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers -5.5 (36)Packers have been bet up to -6 in some spots in a match up of two teams that have 6 wins between them. Lions have covered 3 of the past 4 match ups including a 17-3 win on opening day this year. Since then both teams have struggled. These teams have combined for 35 thrown interceptions including 21 from Brett Favre alone. Both teams allow 20 ppg while the Packers have a point advantage on offence. Green Bay is just 1-4 on home field and the Lambeau mystic has been over for 2 years now. The Lions are perhaps the worst road team overall the past 3 years. Neither team would see much money as both play bad football are decimated by injury but it is the Sunday night match up and as usual the favorite will see some action in this one and will probably settle at -6. Monday December 12, 2005 New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons -10.5 (43.5)Falcons are a big home favorite on Monday Night Football and the line appears to be getting bigger despite the fact they have lost 3 of their past 4 games including their last two at home. The Saints are 5-6-1 ATS compared to the Falcons 6-6 ATS record and New Orleans can hang tough with anybody as long as they don't turn the ball over. The problem is that Aaron Brooks has thrown 17 interceptions this year. The Falcons continue to have the best rushing attack as they average 178 yards per game on the ground but continue to find ways to lose. Saints played Atlanta tough in their first meeting and the Falcons will be facing a line shift of over 13 points if they are to get back on the ATS winning track.
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Sunday December 11, 2005 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers -4.5 (37)Both teams come in off straight up and ATS victories. Bucs won on the road as 3.5 point favorites in New Orleans, while the Panthers won at home vs. Falcons as 3 point favorites. This will be another big divisional game for both teams. Carolina was just a 3 point favorite over the Falcons, yet they open up as 4.5 chalk over another divisional team that has a better record than their previous opponent and apparently the early money is all over them. New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills +3 (37)Patriots won as a 10.5 favorite last week while the Bills covered but lost in the final seconds of the game to rival Dolphins. Patriots attack mostly through the air but Corey Dillon finally appears healthy and gets to go against the second worst run defense in the league. Bills are 4-2 ATS at home but Patriots are 3-3 ATS on the road. Bills average just 140 yards passing per game but gets to face a team that gives up over 250 passing yards per game. This looks like a small number on the world champs that may be ready to make a run even if it is against weaker teams, and in all likelihood chalk players will lay more than 3 by game time. St. Louis Rams vs. Minnesota Vikings -7 (44.5)Vikings have won and covered 5 in a row. Offence continues to operate under Brad Johnson and has eliminated mistakes that cost them games early in the season. The Vikings also have a top ranked defense over the past month. This looks like a big number but the Rams will once again be down to their third string QB, and have glaring holes in the secondary as well as the line backer crew because of injury. This looks like a tale of two teams heading in completely opposite direction, but 7 is a hard number to move off of but could go either way Chicago Bears vs. Pittsburgh Steelers -6 (30.5)The best defense in the league visits the Pittsburgh Steelers who have lost convincingly back to back and have 3 losses in a row overall. Steelers just 3 point favorite last week over the Bengals but this week they are laying 6 points against a Bears team that has won 8 straight games with a mixture of fantastic defense that gets turnovers and scores points, a great running game and an offence that does just enough on the field despite looking terrible statistically. A big number here for the home team despite the fact they look to battling for the playoff lives. Interestingly enough, the number was actually bet up to 6 from the opening line of 4. Oakland Raiders vs. New York Jets +3 (37)Raiders could not cover 11 points last week in the San Diego and for some reason are now instilled as 3 point favorite over the Jets. Jets have been brutal on the road but are 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS at home. Raiders have to content with a 14 spread shift to get the cover, and also must content with themselves as they appear to be sulking on the field and are one of the worst offenders in the penalty department again this year. Jets look to be a live home dog as their defense matches up well against the Raiders offence. Last time the Jets opened up as a small home dog, they were bet up to a small favorite but could not get the cover against the Saints. Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars +7.5 (42)Colts go for win number 13 in a row facing a Jaguars team that has 5 games in row as well. Jaguar's injury problems well documented but you should see Fred Taylor back this week. Jaguars held the Colts to just 10 points their first meeting but could only score 3 points themselves in the defensive battle. Colts are making it look easy on offence recently and the defense is often pitching in with points as well. This game will be a huge step up in class for both teams as they beat the Titans and Brown last week respectively. Despite the fact the number is already big, like all Colts games this year, it will probably be bet up higher later in the week. Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans -6.5 (44)Houston the official leader for the number 1 overall draft pick as they are winners of just 1 game this year and have lost 5 in a row. They did look to have a little bit of jump against the Ravens last week and could look the same as the Titans are not much better, if at all. Titans got blown out by the Colts last week getting 17 points and this week look to cover a 23.5 point shift as they are big favorites at home. They were in this role just a few weeks ago and took care of the 49ers after a slow start. Houston is the worst team in the league, but this is a winnable game for them as they are 4-2 ATS as a visitor. Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals -12 (43)Bengals are fresh off a big win in Pittsburgh last week. Their offence is in high gear as they scored the most points ever against Bill Cower's Steelers defense. The Browns can bring it defensively and looked good last week for the first half offensively behind Charlie Frye, but absolutely dreadful in the second half. Begals will look to cover a 15 point swing as they were 3 point dogs last week. Cleveland is just 2-4 ATS on the road, but the Bengals carry the identical record at home. Dog players should wait to play this line as there is a good chance you will get more points on Sunday. Washington Redskins vs. Arizona Cardinals +3.5 (41)Redskins are road favorites on back to back weeks. Both these teams that used to be divisional rivals are in off wins in the road favorite role. The Cardinals actually lead the league in passing yards but the Redskins are 11th overall in defending the pass. Washington is average defending the ground game but the Cardinals are dead last in the league in rushing yards averaging just 65 yards per game on the ground. Redskins are still in the playoff hunt while the Cardinals are playing for pride while showcasing perhaps the best new one two punch receivers in the game. Skins will need to control Boldin and Fitzgerald to have any chance of winning SU and covering. New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles - No LineNo line is available as of this writing but the Giants will be small road favorite despite this being a divisional game. Eagles showed absolutely no life on Monday night and face a Giants team that is playing well on both sides of the football. Injuries could be an even bigger problem as RB Brian Westbrook could not finish up for the Eagles on Monday. Eagles have covered 4 of past 5, Giants have struggled on the road, are having huge problems in the kicking game and the Eagles defense can still play. If this line opens up too large their could be value in the Eagles. San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks -15.5 (44)The Seahawks have openened up as 15.5 point favorite and one has to imagine if this number is anywhere near high enough to draw any money on the dog. When a team wins as big as the Seahawks did on Monday Night Football the line is bound to be inflated. Despite the big line, its perfection vs. desolate perfection as the Seahawks put their 6-0 home record on the line vs. the 49ers 0-5 road record. Players should be laying closer to 17 points by game time. Miami Dolphins vs. San Diego Chargers -14 (45)This line also seems a little inflated but the Chargers are a spectacular 8-3-1 ATS this season and have dominated their past few home games. Miami comes in off a big last second victory in a game which they were laying 4.5 points against Buffalo so they do get the benefit of a big 18.5 point swing in their favor. San Diego rush defense is excellent but Miami does have options in the backfield. Dolphins will need to get a big performance from who ever is under center. Books will have a very hard time getting fish money. Baltimore Ravens vs. Denver Broncos -14 (40.5)Ravens come in actually having won 2 of their past 3. The problem is that Denver has won 8 of their past 10 including last week. Ravens are winless on the road at 0-6 with just one decent performance while Denver is perfect at home at 6-0 with mostly dominating performances. Broncos should dominate on the ground as they gain 70 more yards per game on the ground. This is a big number but rightfully so, and most of the money will be on the Broncos. Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys -3 (44.5)Chiefs are off a huge win last week as they hosted the Broncos and are just 1 game behind the Broncos. Cowboys off back to back losses to the Broncos and Giants and need a win as they now chase the Giants in the division. Chiefs offence is averaging 34 ppg their past 3 game and 429 yards of offence. Cowboys give up just 81 rushing yards per game at home but will be severely tested. This line is going to get plenty action both ways and a move is unlikely as they Cowboys lay 3 for home field advantage. Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers -5.5 (36)Packers have been bet up to -6 in some spots in a match up of two teams that have 6 wins between them. Lions have covered 3 of the past 4 match ups including a 17-3 win on opening day this year. Since then both teams have struggled. These teams have combined for 35 thrown interceptions including 21 from Brett Favre alone. Both teams allow 20 ppg while the Packers have a point advantage on offence. Green Bay is just 1-4 on home field and the Lambeau mystic has been over for 2 years now. The Lions are perhaps the worst road team overall the past 3 years. Neither team would see much money as both play bad football are decimated by injury but it is the Sunday night match up and as usual the favorite will see some action in this one and will probably settle at -6. Monday December 12, 2005 New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons -10.5 (43.5)Falcons are a big home favorite on Monday Night Football and the line appears to be getting bigger despite the fact they have lost 3 of their past 4 games including their last two at home. The Saints are 5-6-1 ATS compared to the Falcons 6-6 ATS record and New Orleans can hang tough with anybody as long as they don't turn the ball over. The problem is that Aaron Brooks has thrown 17 interceptions this year. The Falcons continue to have the best rushing attack as they average 178 yards per game on the ground but continue to find ways to lose. Saints played Atlanta tough in their first meeting and the Falcons will be facing a line shift of over 13 points if they are to get back on the ATS winning track.
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posted by adairk at
5:11 p.m.
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