Sports Betting
Grab The Points
Sunday December 4, 2005Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cleveland Browns +3Bet Cleveland +3 or more. This line opened up making the Jaguars 2.5 point favorites on the road and was quickly bet up to -3. My question to this move is; why? The Jaguars find themselves in a very difficult spot, and despite the fact they have been playing well on both sides of the ball, we will take the points with the field goal home dog in this contest. The Jaguars are decimated at the skill position as Byron Leftwhich, with his broken bone joins an already banged up Fred Taylor on the injury list. Although, enough players have stepped up to get this team some wins recently, one has to assume that it will end here. This will be the Jaguars 3 straight road game as well as their 5th in 7 weeks, but more importantly this will be the 3rd consecutive time they will lay points on the road. Although they have come up with big road favorite wins the past 2 weeks. The physical and emotional strain of three straight road games should catch up to them here. The Browns meanwhile are just 4-7 SU and 5-6 ATS but one thing that can be said about them is that they come to play each and every week, so you can expect another solid performance from them. At home they have allowed just 27 points their past 4 games and actually sport a winning record of 3-2 in Cleveland. The defense is allowing just .6 of point more points than that of the highly regarded Jaguars team and we look for them to key on back up starter David Garrand and force him to beat them through the air; a spot where they allow just 159 yards per game. The Jaguars will have to come up with another solid road performance to win and cover this line and history is any indication of the future; as it usually is, then the Browns should get not only the cover here, but the straight up victory. Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions +3 Bet Detroit Lions+3 This game is a simple tale of two teams headed in opposite directions. While the Vikings are surging and making a move to challenge for the playoffs, the Lions have completely gone into the tank and it eventually lead to the firing of head coach Steve Marriucci this past week. The problem on the Lions side of the ball has never been talent. It is there on both the offensive and defensive side, but it just seems that this team can't get enough positive energy or emotion going to have a successful 16 game season. Why are they good value in this instance, you may ask? The reason is simple. This is a week where they should truly be motivated and come to play. The firing of coach Mariucci should give them a bolt in the arm and a jump in their step for the short term at least. In this game, at home, as an underdog, able to play the part of spoiler I look for their best performance of the year, especially on the defensive side of the ball, a spot where they have shown signs of being good. The underdog has completely dominated this match up series covering 11 of the past 14. The Vikings come in with just one good road performance this season (in Green Bay). Detroit actually is better in yards allowed, time of possession, red zone percentages, the kicking side of special teams and discipline. Although we don't see the Vikings being as bad as they were early, we definitely do not believe they are as good as they have played the past month. With the Vikings somewhere in the middle, they look to not over power the Lions the anywhere on the field and thus home field advantage and a field goal amount of points spotted, the Lions are the way to go in this one.
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Sunday December 4, 2005Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cleveland Browns +3Bet Cleveland +3 or more. This line opened up making the Jaguars 2.5 point favorites on the road and was quickly bet up to -3. My question to this move is; why? The Jaguars find themselves in a very difficult spot, and despite the fact they have been playing well on both sides of the ball, we will take the points with the field goal home dog in this contest. The Jaguars are decimated at the skill position as Byron Leftwhich, with his broken bone joins an already banged up Fred Taylor on the injury list. Although, enough players have stepped up to get this team some wins recently, one has to assume that it will end here. This will be the Jaguars 3 straight road game as well as their 5th in 7 weeks, but more importantly this will be the 3rd consecutive time they will lay points on the road. Although they have come up with big road favorite wins the past 2 weeks. The physical and emotional strain of three straight road games should catch up to them here. The Browns meanwhile are just 4-7 SU and 5-6 ATS but one thing that can be said about them is that they come to play each and every week, so you can expect another solid performance from them. At home they have allowed just 27 points their past 4 games and actually sport a winning record of 3-2 in Cleveland. The defense is allowing just .6 of point more points than that of the highly regarded Jaguars team and we look for them to key on back up starter David Garrand and force him to beat them through the air; a spot where they allow just 159 yards per game. The Jaguars will have to come up with another solid road performance to win and cover this line and history is any indication of the future; as it usually is, then the Browns should get not only the cover here, but the straight up victory. Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions +3 Bet Detroit Lions+3 This game is a simple tale of two teams headed in opposite directions. While the Vikings are surging and making a move to challenge for the playoffs, the Lions have completely gone into the tank and it eventually lead to the firing of head coach Steve Marriucci this past week. The problem on the Lions side of the ball has never been talent. It is there on both the offensive and defensive side, but it just seems that this team can't get enough positive energy or emotion going to have a successful 16 game season. Why are they good value in this instance, you may ask? The reason is simple. This is a week where they should truly be motivated and come to play. The firing of coach Mariucci should give them a bolt in the arm and a jump in their step for the short term at least. In this game, at home, as an underdog, able to play the part of spoiler I look for their best performance of the year, especially on the defensive side of the ball, a spot where they have shown signs of being good. The underdog has completely dominated this match up series covering 11 of the past 14. The Vikings come in with just one good road performance this season (in Green Bay). Detroit actually is better in yards allowed, time of possession, red zone percentages, the kicking side of special teams and discipline. Although we don't see the Vikings being as bad as they were early, we definitely do not believe they are as good as they have played the past month. With the Vikings somewhere in the middle, they look to not over power the Lions the anywhere on the field and thus home field advantage and a field goal amount of points spotted, the Lions are the way to go in this one.
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posted by adairk at
5:18 p.m.
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