Sports Betting

Wednesday, November 16, 2005

Sports Betting

Week 11 NFL Picks

Needless to say my predicting that the Denver Broncos will triumph over the hapless New York Jets is not going to go down in the annals of football handicapping as one of the greatest prognostications in the last decade.
No I think most of America will be on the Broncos this weekend even if they are laying a hefty 13-14 points to Herm Edwards’s troops. On the flip side the only reason for backing the Jets would be that Denver is coming off an emotional division road game against the hated Raiders and will be looking ahead to a Thanksgiving Day tilt with Dallas.

My reasons for writing off the Jets are not like the majority of handicappers who will point to their woeful quarterback problems, but rather the crippled offensive line. The Jets had arguably the best center in the business in Kevin Mawae but he went down with a torn triceps muscle and he was their undisputable leader. In their loss at Carolina this past weekend, the news went from bad to worse as another all pro lineman Jason Fabini went down with a torn pectoral muscle.
Two of their other linemen Pete Kendall and Brandon Moore are hobbled and they have other ailments at running back and wide receiver. I would look for the Broncos to sizzle in the first half and then call off the dogs and rest up for their Thanksgiving Day feast in Texas.
Another team who is going to go in the tank in the second half of the season is the Patriots. New England may have all kinds of injuries in the defensive backfield, but they have been able to outscore teams with their passing attack. This is all going to come to a sudden halt in the next few weeks however! Injuries on the offensive line are beginning to happen at a rapid pace and the latest one this past Sunday is a critical one.
The injury to Koppen is a major blow for the offensive line, which has been missing starting left tackle Matt Light since a September 25 win at Pittsburgh due to a broken leg. Koppen broke his left arm late in the third quarter of last Sunday's 23-16 win at Miami. He had started the last 46 games, including playoffs, the longest streak on the team other than quarterback Tom Brady (79).
The Patriots signed Gene Mruczkowski, who can play guard or center, to replace Koppen on the roster. Russ Hochstein, the top backup guard, will slide over to center. This is Mruczkowski's third tour of duty with the Patriots. He spent the 2003 season rehabbing a knee injury with the team, then played in 13 games last season as a reserve. Mruczkowski was released in training camp, re-signed after Light was injured and released again on October 8.
You can talk all you want about the importance of a great quarterback to a team, but the offense begins with the snap of the ball and unless the QB can remain consistently in a vertical position, a team will have trouble scoring.
Look for Tom Brady to struggle in the second half of the season and let’s hope for his sake, that he does not get beaten up!
Take the Broncos and the Saints this week to cover!
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