Sports Betting
The Breeders Cup offers something that no other day in horseracing can - the chance to make a fortune betting on racehorses - without spending one.
Full fields of killer racehorses from all over the world - the kind that hate to lose. Huge Breeders Cup betting pools bolstered by millions of dollars in uniformed money poured in by the richest people in the world - many of who haven’t even looked at a program! Stymied horseplayers baffled by the incredible number of variables involved in handicapping and betting the Breeders' Cup.
Add to that mix the fact that longshots greater than 20-1 finish first or second in Breeders’ Cup races 30 percent of the time and you have a prime betting opportunity.
Sure the sharpies will try to take advantage of the uninformed money, usually in the multi-million dollar Breeders Cup Ultra Pick 6 pool, which could reach $5 million in 2005. But at the 2004 Breeders' Cup, no one picked six winners in the Pick 6. Sixty-one consolation tickets of $56,149 were paid out to bettors with five out of six winners. The Pick 6 is not where the statistical betting edge lies regardless, for the casual player taking a shot at Breeders Cup' betting. That edge is found in exacta and trifecta betting.
In the past 21 years, the average $2 Breeders Cup exactor has paid has paid $224. A four-horse $2 exacta box ($24) in all eight Breeders' Cup races will cost you $192. Based on pure Breeders' Cup historical statistics, if you hit one race, there's a good chance you'll go home with a profit of $32 and maybe much more if the favorite runs out of the money.
With regards to Breeders' Cup betting on the trifecta, the average payoff historically for a $1 ticket has been just over $1400. If you play a $1 trifecta box including five horses ($60) in each Breeders' Cup race for a total cost of $480, and you hit just one trifecta that doesn’t involve the favorite winning, you have a good statistical chance of going home with a profit of over $900 and probably much more.
You can increase your chances of making a substantial profit betting the Breeders Cup by utilizing rudimentary handicapping and angle plays to spot long shots in races where the favorite appears weak. Finding a key horse that is not the favorite and wheeling that horse with all or part of the field can be extremely profitable, especially if the favorite runs out of the money.
Example angle plays might include: first or second time Lasix (especially on the classy European horses); second start off a layoff; second or third start in North America; blinkers on or off; horses who excel at the distance; horses who have given courageous performances without winning in previous starts; horses switching from dirt to turf and vice versa; trainers and horses who excel off a layoff; jockey changes etc.
The 2005 Breeders Cup World Thoroughbred Championships will be held at Belmont Park in Elmont, New York on Saturday, October 29. It takes a special kind of horse to win on Big Sandy, with its long sweeping turns. Remember that when you’re making your Breeders Cup picks.
Check back here early next week for our special list of Breeders Cup betting angles.
http://www.sport-betting-links.com
Full fields of killer racehorses from all over the world - the kind that hate to lose. Huge Breeders Cup betting pools bolstered by millions of dollars in uniformed money poured in by the richest people in the world - many of who haven’t even looked at a program! Stymied horseplayers baffled by the incredible number of variables involved in handicapping and betting the Breeders' Cup.
Add to that mix the fact that longshots greater than 20-1 finish first or second in Breeders’ Cup races 30 percent of the time and you have a prime betting opportunity.
Sure the sharpies will try to take advantage of the uninformed money, usually in the multi-million dollar Breeders Cup Ultra Pick 6 pool, which could reach $5 million in 2005. But at the 2004 Breeders' Cup, no one picked six winners in the Pick 6. Sixty-one consolation tickets of $56,149 were paid out to bettors with five out of six winners. The Pick 6 is not where the statistical betting edge lies regardless, for the casual player taking a shot at Breeders Cup' betting. That edge is found in exacta and trifecta betting.
In the past 21 years, the average $2 Breeders Cup exactor has paid has paid $224. A four-horse $2 exacta box ($24) in all eight Breeders' Cup races will cost you $192. Based on pure Breeders' Cup historical statistics, if you hit one race, there's a good chance you'll go home with a profit of $32 and maybe much more if the favorite runs out of the money.
With regards to Breeders' Cup betting on the trifecta, the average payoff historically for a $1 ticket has been just over $1400. If you play a $1 trifecta box including five horses ($60) in each Breeders' Cup race for a total cost of $480, and you hit just one trifecta that doesn’t involve the favorite winning, you have a good statistical chance of going home with a profit of over $900 and probably much more.
You can increase your chances of making a substantial profit betting the Breeders Cup by utilizing rudimentary handicapping and angle plays to spot long shots in races where the favorite appears weak. Finding a key horse that is not the favorite and wheeling that horse with all or part of the field can be extremely profitable, especially if the favorite runs out of the money.
Example angle plays might include: first or second time Lasix (especially on the classy European horses); second start off a layoff; second or third start in North America; blinkers on or off; horses who excel at the distance; horses who have given courageous performances without winning in previous starts; horses switching from dirt to turf and vice versa; trainers and horses who excel off a layoff; jockey changes etc.
The 2005 Breeders Cup World Thoroughbred Championships will be held at Belmont Park in Elmont, New York on Saturday, October 29. It takes a special kind of horse to win on Big Sandy, with its long sweeping turns. Remember that when you’re making your Breeders Cup picks.
Check back here early next week for our special list of Breeders Cup betting angles.
http://www.sport-betting-links.com
posted by adairk at
4:18 p.m.
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home