Sports Betting

Wednesday, March 08, 2006

NCAA Betting

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks, the regular-season champions of the Big Sky Conference, take on the second-place Montana Grizzlies for the conference tournament title Wednesday night, with an automatic bid into the NCAA championship tournament at stake.
Montana has won six of its last seven games. The Grizzlies beat Eastern Washington 73-71 in OT Tuesday night as six-point favorites to advance to this conference tournament title game.
Northern Arizona is 2-2 in its last four games. The Lumberjacks beat Sacramento State Tuesday 98-83 as seven-point favorites to get here.
The teams have split the last six meetings, and two meetings this season, each winning on their home courts. In the first game back in January, Montana led by 13 points at halftime before Northern Arizona came back for an 83-80 win. In the second game 10 days ago, the Grizzlies led by 20 at the half on their way to a 96-83 victory. In those two games, Montana hit 26 out of 50 three-point attempts, and both teams shot better than 50 percent from the field. Also, Montana outrebounded the Lumberjacks by 10 each game.
Montana is 11-12 against the spread this season, 6-6 ats on the road, just 5-9 ats vs. Big Sky opponents but 5-1 ats as an underdog.
Northern Arizona is 13-10 against the spread on the season, 5-4 ats at the Walkup Skydome (the site of tonight's game), a profitable 10-5 ats in Big Sky play and 6-5 ats as a favorite.
In the latest RPI at NCAAsports.com, Montana is #76, Northern Arizona #119. In USA Today's Sagarin PREDICTOR rankings, the Grizzlies are at #103 at 77.6, while the 'Jacks are at #137 at 74.3.
Both teams shoot the ball very well. Montana on the season is hitting 49 percent from the floor, 38 percent from 3-point range and 72 percent from the line. Northern Arizona is shooting 48 percent from the floor, 40 percent from long range and 76 percent from the stripe.
But both teams also allow their opponents to shoot fairly well. Montana opponents shoot 44 percent from the floor, Northern Arizona opponents 47 percent.
The over is a collective 27-20 in Montana and Northern Arizona games this season. The total on this game opened up at 150 1/2, but was quickly bet up two points. The average total points scored in the last six meetings between these two teams is 160.
To bet this game
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