Sports Betting

Wednesday, February 22, 2006

NCAA Betting

The clock is ticking for several schools who are hell bent on getting that V.I.P. in the mail from the NCAA Selection Committee that will have the task of selecting just 65 teams for the big dance in a few weeks.
Having watched hundreds of games this winter I can tell you that Connecticut and Duke are going to be there when the dust settles at the end of March, but there are at least two other schools that will be headed to the final four. Who will it be!
The ACC is a very topsy-turvy conference once you get past Duke, with Boston College and North Carolina State, the two schools who are very capable. BC is a former resident of the Big East, so it can bang on the boards and has now got the ACC up tempo look to their game. Seven of BC’s ten ACC games have been decided by four points or less and they are a horrible free throw team, so if you pick them, they are going to make you sweat at the end of games.

North Carolina State can shoot the rock and the constant flow offense causes problems for big teams. They are a very unselfish team and if they get a lead, their free throw shooting will bury teams. Their Achilles heel is the bad habit of giving up big leads, but they will go far in March.
The Atlantic 10 has George Washington at 22-1 and 12-0 in Conference play. The Colonials just need to keep following the script that's worked so well for them thus far — balanced scoring, willingly sharing the ball, intense on-the-ball pressure — and they'll beat two of the A-10's bigger surprise teams (La Salle, Fordham) this week. La Salle and Fordham both feature frontcourt studs (La Salle's Steven Smith, Fordham's Bryant Dunston), but not nearly the frontcourt depth of GW. A sleeper could be Xavier, but they will need huge efforts from several players and win their conference tournament. Xavier senior Brian Thornton their leading scorer and rebounder with 15.3 points and 6.8 rebounds a game suffered a college career-ending fractured ankle against La Salle on Feb. 11. He's undergone successful surgery and will attempt to come back and play pro ball somewhere, most likely overseas.
When No. 1 UConn lost to Villanova on Monday, the national discussion about which team should take over the top spot surrounded No. 2 Duke and No. 4 Villanova, with very little mention of No. 3 Memphis. Certainly, playing in Conference USA hasn't helped the Tigers' reputation in recent weeks, but the Tigers are still making something of a case for the top spot in the polls and a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. For example, Memphis' 24 victories are tied with Duke for the nation's highest total; the Tigers' current 13-game winning streak is the nation's second-longest, trailing only George Washington's 14-game streak; Memphis is 10-0 on the road this season, making the Tigers the nation's only unbeaten road team. Their road wins include wins at Providence, Cincinnati, Alabama and Ole Miss. Also, Memphis has played more games (four) against teams currently rated in the RPI Top-10 than any other team in the nation and owns a 7-2 record vs. Top-50 RPI teams and a 10-2 mark against the Top-100 RPI.
Michigan State is always visible come tournament time and they bring experience and great coaching with them. They have frustrated me to death when playing on the road and their 11-0 home record indicates where they are most comfortable. Fortunately the dance is at neutral sites, so they should go very deep, but their center Davis needs to get nasty once in a while. The 6-11 senior has 85 career double-doubles. His 18 points moved him into ninth all-time at MSU with 1,592 career points.
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